
Anel Ahmedhodzic
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anel Ahmedhodzic's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-2.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.2M-11.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.0M-11.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 16
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 54.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.0M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2210 (72% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 54 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1423
- Opponent strength
- 1309
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.0M – €11.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -32% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 26 | 2210 | 72% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1309 | 1423 | 0.43 |
| 2023/24 | Sheffield United | Premier League | CB | 31 | 2650 | 77% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 1576 | 1269 | 1.14 |
| 2021/22 | FC Girondins Bordeaux | Ligue 1 | CB | 15 | 1350 | 39% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 1404 | 1312 | 0.86 |
| 2019/20 | Hobro IK | Superliga | CB | 19 | 1657 | 71% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1271 | 1148 | 0.41 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | 1450 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | 1497 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Sheffield United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Malmö Fotbollförening | 7 | 630 | 0 | 0 | 1442 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Malmö Fotbollförening | 5 | 413 | 0 | 0 | 1665 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Malmö Fotbollförening | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Min-jae Kim Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €14.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Jack Hendry Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 27 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Rúben Semedo Super League 1 · 2021 | 27 | €8.0M | €3.2M | fell |
| Moisés Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €4.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Batista Mendy Super Lig · 2024 | 24 | €9.5M | €7.5M | fell |
| Josip Sutalo Eredivisie · 2024 | 24 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Ben Davies Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 28 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Cheikhou Kouyaté Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 25 | €7.0M | €11.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | Sheff Utd | Feyenoord | €6.9M | €18.0M |
| 6 Jul 2022 | Malmö | Sheff Utd | €4.5M | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | G. Bordeaux | Malmö | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Malmö | G. Bordeaux | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 4 Jan 2020 | Hobro IK | Malmö | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Malmö | Hobro IK | Free / loan | €100k |
| 28 Jan 2019 | Nottingham U23 | Malmö | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Nottingham U18 | Nottingham U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 14 Jan 2016 | Malmö FF U17 | Nottingham U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.