Anel Ahmedhodzic

27 yrs · Centre-back · Bosnia-Herzegovina
Feyenoord Rotterdam · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 190 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€5.2M – €11.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.4M – €2.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€4.0M – €11.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€10.3M – -€2.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€5.2M – €11.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €2.9M
Projected value (24 months)€4.0M – €11.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anel Ahmedhodzic's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-2.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.2M-11.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.0M-11.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 16

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage54.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €9.0M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €20.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2210 (72% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.03
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
54 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1423
Opponent strength
1309
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€4.0M – €11.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -21% (IQR -32% to +2%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (DEF)
Relative output kept
65%–166%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieCB26221072%010.040.03130914230.43
2023/24Sheffield UnitedPremier LeagueCB31265077%200.070.09157612691.14
2021/22FC Girondins BordeauxLigue 1CB15135039%010.070.09140413120.86
2019/20Hobro IKSuperligaCB19165771%110.110.11127111480.41

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam7630001450
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingFeyenoord Rotterdam2180011497
2025/26Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam19000—
2023/24Fa CupSheffield United19000—
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingMalmö Fotbollförening7630001442
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueMalmö Fotbollförening5413001665
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueMalmö Fotbollförening2180001544

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Min-jae Kim
Super Lig · 2022
26€14.0M€45.0Mrose
Jack Hendry
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
27€5.0M€3.0Mfell
Rúben Semedo
Super League 1 · 2021
27€8.0M€3.2Mfell
Moisés
Premier Liga · 2024
29€4.5M€4.0Mflat
Batista Mendy
Super Lig · 2024
24€9.5M€7.5Mfell
Josip Sutalo
Eredivisie · 2024
24€15.0M€12.0Mfell
Ben Davies
Scottish Premiership · 2023
28€3.5M€2.5Mfell
Cheikhou Kouyaté
Jupiler Pro League · 2014
25€7.0M€11.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
5 Aug 2025Sheff UtdFeyenoord€6.9M€18.0M
6 Jul 2022MalmöSheff Utd€4.5M€6.0M
30 Jun 2022G. BordeauxMalmöFree / loan€6.0M
31 Jan 2022MalmöG. BordeauxFree / loan€7.0M
4 Jan 2020Hobro IKMalmöFree / loan€450k
1 Jul 2019MalmöHobro IKFree / loan€100k
28 Jan 2019Nottingham U23MalmöUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Nottingham U18Nottingham U23UnknownData unavailable
14 Jan 2016Malmö FF U17Nottingham U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.