Batista Mendy

26 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also AM, CB) · France
Sevilla FC · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 191 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€7.5M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.0M – €6.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.7M – €9.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.0M – €7.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.9M – €6.9M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.0M – €6.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.7M – €9.9M
Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €7.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Batista Mendy's performance-implied value at EUR 2.7M-9.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.0M-6.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.0M-7.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.66x the positional average in the league (1668 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 62

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average64.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €4.0M vs market €7.5M
Expected appreciationVery low-40% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1668 (49% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.05
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.08
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
65 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1396
Opponent strength
1457
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.0M – €7.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; changed club; team strength up (+89 Elo); league level up (+226 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -64% to -2%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1668 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Sevilla FCLaligaDM27161947%100.060.08145713970.95
2025/26TrabzonsporSuper LigAM2492%000.000.29120613680.40
2024/25TrabzonsporSuper LigDM32260180%120.100.09128513070.39
2023/24TrabzonsporSuper LigCB31275681%100.030.03128813790.45
2022/23Angers SCOLigue 1DM35287184%000.000.04145012210.82
2021/22Angers SCOLigue 1DM34241771%110.070.10142013520.86
2020/21FC NantesLigue 1DM2742%000.000.13142213760.75

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReySevilla FC12200—
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingTrabzonspor4360001374
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingTrabzonspor2204001443

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Riccardo Saponara
Serie A · 2017
26€11.0M€8.5Mfell
Jean-Victor Makengo
Ligue 1 · 2023
25€10.0M€2.5Mfell
Grischa Prömel
Bundesliga · 2023
28€7.0M€3.0Mfell
Emmanuel Badu
Serie A · 2017
27€5.0M€1.5Mfell
Rani Khedira
Bundesliga · 2021
27€5.0M€10.0Mrose
Nahitan Nández
Serie A · 2022
27€13.0M€5.0Mfell
Claudio Yacob
Premier League · 2014
27€6.0M€4.0Mfell
Ola Aina
Serie A · 2022
26€3.5M€12.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026Sevilla FCTrabzonsporFree / loan€7.5M
1 Sept 2025TrabzonsporSevilla FCFree / loan€10.0M
7 Sept 2023Angers SCOTrabzonspor€4.4M€3.0M
19 Jul 2021FC NantesAngers SCOFree / loan€500k
1 Jul 2019FC Nantes BFC NantesUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018FC Nantes U19FC Nantes BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017FC Nantes U17FC Nantes U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Saint-Naz. JgdFC Nantes U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.