
Jonas Wind
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jonas Wind's performance-implied value at EUR 2.1M-5.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.0M-5.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-4.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.90x the positional average in the league (480 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 59.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.7M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -37% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 480 (16% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.46
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1372
- Opponent strength
- 1518
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €4.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 49 pts; team strength down (-66 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -41% to +7%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 480 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | ST | 11 | 480 | 16% | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.46 | 1518 | 1372 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | ST | 31 | 1971 | 64% | 9 | 3 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 1482 | 1438 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | ST | 34 | 2663 | 87% | 11 | 7 | 0.61 | 0.57 | 1504 | 1427 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | ST | 24 | 1296 | 42% | 6 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 1531 | 1525 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 16 | 1298 | 66% | 6 | 4 | 0.69 | 0.45 | 1251 | 1516 | 0.45 |
| 2021/22 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | ST | 14 | 1187 | 39% | 5 | 1 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 1530 | 1495 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 18 | 1608 | 81% | 11 | 4 | 0.84 | 0.50 | 1274 | 1409 | 0.43 |
| 2019/20 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 6 | 519 | 22% | 5 | 2 | 1.21 | 0.45 | 1234 | 1474 | 0.41 |
| 2018/19 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 12 | 804 | 34% | 5 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.38 | 1287 | 1499 | 0.44 |
| 2017/18 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | ST | 3 | 26 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 1171 | 1453 | 0.47 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 136 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 226 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 80 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 6 | 345 | 1 | 2 | 1337 |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 270 | 2 | 0 | 1402 |
| 2020/21 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 60 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 314 | 1 | 0 | 1425 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 210 | 2 | 1 | 1657 |
| 2018/19 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1500 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Europa League | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1804 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Deulofeu Serie A · 2021 | 27 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Isaac Success Serie A · 2024 | 28 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Kalifa Coulibaly Ligue 1 · 2018 | 27 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Florian Kainz Bundesliga · 2021 | 29 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Carles Pérez Laliga · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Thomas Henry Serie A · 2023 | 29 | €4.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Manolo Gabbiadini Serie A · 2021 | 30 | €5.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Diego Falcinelli Serie A · 2019 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Wolfsburg | Without Club | Unknown | €4.0M |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Copenhagen | Wolfsburg | €12.0M | €7.0M |
| 7 Feb 2018 | Copenhagen U19 | Copenhagen | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FCK Youth | Copenhagen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Rosenhöj BK | FCK Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Avedöre IF | Rosenhöj BK | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.