Alphonso Davies

The model rates Alphonso Davies's performance-implied value at EUR 12.3M-31.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 27.5M-55.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.8M-41.8M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

523 (17% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.69

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.12

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

88 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.94 (rank 3)

Team strength (Elo)

1871

Opponent strength

1450

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€15.8M – €41.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 34 pts; team strength up (+99 Elo); relative output up 44% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -45% to +25%).

• ▲Small sample: 523 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.