Sam Beukema
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sam Beukema's performance-implied value at EUR 9.6M-27.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.9M-26.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.7M-21.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 4
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 87.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €20.1M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1680 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 88 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1618
- Opponent strength
- 1499
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.7M – €21.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 39 pts; changed club; relative output up 90% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -35% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1680 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 24 | 1680 | 49% | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 1499 | 1618 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | CB | 35 | 3012 | 88% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 1498 | 1559 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | CB | 30 | 2549 | 75% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1509 | 1579 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 26 | 2199 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 1355 | 1530 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie | CB | 24 | 979 | 32% | 3 | 1 | 0.37 | 0.13 | 1288 | 1496 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | SSC Napoli | 6 | 354 | 0 | 0 | 1630 |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 8 | 647 | 0 | 1 | 1621 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 3 | 330 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1339 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 150 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1551 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessio Romagnoli Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €25.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Benedikt Höwedes Bundesliga · 2014 | 26 | €16.0M | €16.0M | flat |
| Daley Blind Premier League · 2017 | 27 | €22.0M | €24.0M | flat |
| Ömer Toprak Bundesliga · 2016 | 27 | €18.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Julian Ryerson Bundesliga · 2024 | 27 | €20.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Raphaël Guerreiro Bundesliga · 2022 | 29 | €25.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Cristian Ansaldi Premier Liga · 2014 | 28 | €10.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Antonio Rüdiger Premier League · 2020 | 27 | €40.0M | €40.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2025 | Bologna | Napoli | €31.0M | €28.0M |
| 3 Jul 2023 | AZ Alkmaar | Bologna | €10.9M | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Go Ahead Eagles | AZ Alkmaar | €900k | €525k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Go Ahead U19 | Go Ahead Eagles | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Go Ahead U17 | Go Ahead U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | FC Twente Youth | Go Ahead U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Go Ahead Eagles | FC Twente Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Diepenveen Yth. | Go Ahead Eagles | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.