Yehvann Diouf

26 yrs · Goalkeeper · Senegal
OGC Nice · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 188 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€7.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.1M – €8.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.7M – €13.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.4M – €7.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.8M – €10.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.1M – €8.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.7M – €13.3M
Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €7.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yehvann Diouf's performance-implied value at EUR 2.7M-13.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.1M-8.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-7.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 26

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average66.8th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €5.6M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2340 (77% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
67 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1358
Opponent strength
1476
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.4M – €7.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 24 pts; changed club.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -62% to +6%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26OGC NiceLigue 1GK26234076%000.000.00147613580.88
2024/25Stade ReimsLigue 1GK343060100%000.000.00144713570.88
2023/24Stade ReimsLigue 1GK343060100%000.000.00148014190.87
2022/23Stade ReimsLigue 1GK31279082%000.000.00145014250.82
2020/21Stade ReimsLigue 1GK21354%000.000.01141513730.75

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueOGC Nice6540001518
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingOGC Nice2180001638

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Emil Audero
Serie A · 2022
25€6.0M€5.0Mflat
Paul Bernardoni
Ligue 1 · 2022
25€7.0M€2.2Mfell
Alban Lafont
Ligue 1 · 2024
25€9.0M€3.0Mfell
Andrea Consigli
Serie A · 2013
26€7.0M€7.0Mflat
Baptiste Reynet
Ligue 1 · 2019
29€5.0M€2.0Mfell
Guglielmo Vicario
Serie A · 2023
27€16.0M€32.0Mrose
Benoît Costil
Ligue 1 · 2016
29€8.0M€6.5Mflat
Sergio Romero
Serie A · 2013
26€4.0M€5.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
3 Jul 2025Stade ReimsNice€6.5M€12.0M
1 Jul 2019TroyesStade ReimsFree / loan€300k
8 Sept 2016Troyes U19TroyesUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Yehvann Diouf · MoneyballAI