Christos Tzolis

24 yrs · Left winger · Greece
Club Brugge KV · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 179 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€40.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€32.3M – €53.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€11.4M – €38.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€22.5M – €53.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€41.7M – €5.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€32.3M – €53.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€11.4M – €38.2M
Projected value (24 months)€22.5M – €53.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Christos Tzolis's performance-implied value at EUR 11.4M-38.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 32.3M-53.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 22.5M-53.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.14x the positional average in the league (2172 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 20

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh87.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €39.6M vs market €40.0M
Expected appreciationLow-24% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €40.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2172 (80% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.91
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.47
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1365
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€22.5M – €53.9M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 31% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +42% (IQR +7% to +63%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
78 (ATT)
Relative output kept
72%–126%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
60%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLW26217280%9130.910.47136515890.65
2024/25Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro LeagueLW28206677%850.570.37137115520.63
2022/23FC Twente EnschedeEredivisieLW1042214%100.210.32139915050.58
2021/22Norwich CityPremier LeagueLW1432810%000.000.55155012751.17
2020/21Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1LW25168472%660.640.38125814280.39

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Playoff IClub Brugge KV109008101429
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV9722211697
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingClub Brugge KV4328141450
2025/26Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV190111545
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueClub Brugge KV12940131637
2024/25Volkswagen SupercupClub Brugge KV190101589
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Twente Enschede478201404
2022/23Knvb BekerFC Twente Enschede11300—
2021/22Fa CupNorwich City14500—
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton127001391
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4338211476
2020/21Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton433450—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton5255321504
2019/20Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton16300—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Hirving Lozano
Eredivisie · 2019
24€40.0M€45.0Mflat
Andriy Yarmolenko
Premier Liga · 2013
24€17.0M€24.0Mrose
Sardar Azmoun
Premier Liga · 2020
25€14.5M€22.0Mrose
Alexandre Lacazette
Ligue 1 · 2016
25€30.0M€60.0Mrose
Suso
Serie A · 2019
26€40.0M€20.0Mfell
Igor Thiago
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
23€25.0M€65.0Mrose
Pedro Gonçalves
Liga Portugal · 2023
25€32.0M€30.0Mflat
Loïs Openda
Ligue 1 · 2023
23€35.0M€50.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
4 Jul 2024F. DüsseldorfClub Brugge€6.5M€10.0M
1 Jul 2024NorwichF. Düsseldorf€3.5M€10.0M
30 Jun 2024F. DüsseldorfNorwichFree / loan€10.0M
6 Aug 2023NorwichF. DüsseldorfFree / loan€5.0M
30 Jan 2023FC TwenteNorwichFree / loan€7.0M
22 Jul 2022NorwichFC TwenteFree / loan€8.0M
12 Aug 2021PAOKNorwich€11.0M€12.0M
3 Aug 2020PAOK U19PAOKUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019PAOK U17PAOK U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Königst. Jgd.PAOK U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Rosenhöhe Yth.Königst. Jgd.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.