
Christos Tzolis
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Christos Tzolis's performance-implied value at EUR 11.4M-38.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 32.3M-53.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 22.5M-53.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.14x the positional average in the league (2172 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 20
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 87.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €39.6M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2172 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.91
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.47
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 87 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1365
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €22.5M – €53.9M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 31% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +42% (IQR +7% to +63%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 78 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–126%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 60%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 26 | 2172 | 80% | 9 | 13 | 0.91 | 0.47 | 1365 | 1589 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 28 | 2066 | 77% | 8 | 5 | 0.57 | 0.37 | 1371 | 1552 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | FC Twente Enschede | Eredivisie | LW | 10 | 422 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 1399 | 1505 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Norwich City | Premier League | LW | 14 | 328 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 1550 | 1275 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | LW | 25 | 1684 | 72% | 6 | 6 | 0.64 | 0.38 | 1258 | 1428 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Club Brugge KV | 10 | 900 | 8 | 10 | 1429 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 9 | 722 | 2 | 1 | 1697 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 328 | 1 | 4 | 1450 |
| 2025/26 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1545 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Club Brugge KV | 12 | 940 | 1 | 3 | 1637 |
| 2024/25 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1589 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Twente Enschede | 4 | 78 | 2 | 0 | 1404 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | FC Twente Enschede | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Norwich City | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 338 | 2 | 1 | 1476 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 334 | 5 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 255 | 3 | 2 | 1504 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hirving Lozano Eredivisie · 2019 | 24 | €40.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Andriy Yarmolenko Premier Liga · 2013 | 24 | €17.0M | €24.0M | rose |
| Sardar Azmoun Premier Liga · 2020 | 25 | €14.5M | €22.0M | rose |
| Alexandre Lacazette Ligue 1 · 2016 | 25 | €30.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Suso Serie A · 2019 | 26 | €40.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Igor Thiago Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 23 | €25.0M | €65.0M | rose |
| Pedro Gonçalves Liga Portugal · 2023 | 25 | €32.0M | €30.0M | flat |
| Loïs Openda Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €35.0M | €50.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | F. Düsseldorf | Club Brugge | €6.5M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Norwich | F. Düsseldorf | €3.5M | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | F. Düsseldorf | Norwich | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 6 Aug 2023 | Norwich | F. Düsseldorf | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jan 2023 | FC Twente | Norwich | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 22 Jul 2022 | Norwich | FC Twente | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 12 Aug 2021 | PAOK | Norwich | €11.0M | €12.0M |
| 3 Aug 2020 | PAOK U19 | PAOK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAOK U17 | PAOK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Königst. Jgd. | PAOK U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Rosenhöhe Yth. | Königst. Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.