Maxime Soulas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Maxime Soulas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.7M-2.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.1M-3.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 79
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 11.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.4M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1818 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 12 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1242
- Opponent strength
- 1284
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.1M – €3.3M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+181 Elo); league level up (+45 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -38% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sönderjyske Fodbold | Superliga | CB | 21 | 1818 | 92% | 3 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1284 | 1242 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Sönderjyske Fodbold | Superliga | CB | 22 | 1935 | 98% | 2 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1314 | 1062 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Sönderjyske Fodbold | Superliga | CB | 6 | 456 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1278 | 1129 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Sönderjyske Fodbold | 3 | 200 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Sönderjyske Fodbold | 3 | 243 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | Sönderjyske Fodbold | 5 | 442 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Oddset Pokalen | BK Fremad Amager | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €1.7M | €6.5M | rose |
| Ervin Zukanovic Jupiler Pro League · 2013 | 26 | €2.0M | €3.5M | rose |
| Dimitrios Goutas Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €3.0M | €2.8M | flat |
| Aaron Meijers Eredivisie · 2015 | 28 | €1.0M | €750k | fell |
| Casper Højer Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Khalid Karami Eredivisie · 2017 | 28 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Kees Luijckx Eredivisie · 2013 | 27 | €900k | €600k | fell |
| Pawel Bochniewicz Eredivisie · 2024 | 28 | €3.0M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2021 | Fremad Amager | SönderjyskE | Unknown | €350k |
| 11 Aug 2020 | PSV U21 | Fremad Amager | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | PSV U19 | PSV U21 | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Montpellier U19 | PSV U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2017 | PSV U19 | Montpellier U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 19 Jul 2016 | Montpellier U19 | PSV U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.