
Benoît Badiashile
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Benoît Badiashile's performance-implied value at EUR 7.7M-25.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.4M-21.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.6M-22.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | High | 83.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €15.1M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -11% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 471 (14% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 84 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1615
- Opponent strength
- 1629
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.6M – €22.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -66% to -18%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 471 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | CB | 8 | 471 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1629 | 1615 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | CB | 5 | 333 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1643 | 1699 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | CB | 18 | 1338 | 39% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 1589 | 1629 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | CB | 11 | 904 | 26% | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1503 | 1579 | 1.23 |
| 2022/23 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 11 | 839 | 25% | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 1505 | 1485 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 24 | 1838 | 54% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1420 | 1599 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 35 | 2871 | 84% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1444 | 1549 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 16 | 1413 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1393 | 1426 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 20 | 1763 | 52% | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 1465 | 1396 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 4 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 1591 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Chelsea FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1462 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 2 | 177 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | AS Monaco | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1481 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | AS Monaco | 6 | 473 | 0 | 1 | 1572 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | AS Monaco | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | 1539 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1742 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japhet Tanganga Premier League · 2022 | 23 | €12.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Joe Rodon Premier League · 2021 | 24 | €10.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Rob Holding Premier League · 2020 | 25 | €9.5M | €10.0M | flat |
| Eric Bailly Premier League · 2019 | 25 | €25.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Emerson Premier League · 2019 | 25 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Micah Richards Premier League · 2013 | 25 | €16.0M | €5.5M | fell |
| Axel Tuanzebe Premier League · 2022 | 25 | €7.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Ben Johnson Premier League · 2024 | 24 | €8.0M | €7.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jan 2023 | Monaco | Chelsea | €38.0M | €40.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Monaco U19 | Monaco | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | AS Monaco U17 | Monaco U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | SC Malesh. Jgd. | AS Monaco U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Limoges FC Jgd. | SC Malesh. Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.