Benoît Badiashile

25 yrs · Centre-back · France
Chelsea FC · Premier League · Foot: left · Height: 194 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€15.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€9.4M – €21.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€7.7M – €25.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€6.6M – €22.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€14.0M – €16.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€9.4M – €21.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€7.7M – €25.4M
Projected value (24 months)€6.6M – €22.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Benoît Badiashile's performance-implied value at EUR 7.7M-25.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.4M-21.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.6M-22.2M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceHigh83.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €15.1M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationLow-11% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €40.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
471 (14% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.04
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
84 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1615
Opponent strength
1629
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€6.6M – €22.2M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -66% to -18%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 471 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Chelsea FCPremier LeagueCB847114%000.000.04162916151.30
2024/25Chelsea FCPremier LeagueCB533310%000.000.05164316991.23
2023/24Chelsea FCPremier LeagueCB18133839%010.070.06158916291.14
2022/23Chelsea FCPremier LeagueCB1190426%100.100.07150315791.23
2022/23AS MonacoLigue 1CB1183925%200.210.12150514850.82
2021/22AS MonacoLigue 1CB24183854%100.050.05142015990.86
2020/21AS MonacoLigue 1CB35287184%210.090.08144415490.75
2019/20AS MonacoLigue 1CB16141356%000.000.03139314260.82
2018/19AS MonacoLigue 1CB20176352%110.100.11146513960.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueChelsea FC4262001591
2025/26Fa CupChelsea FC221000—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingChelsea FC2180001462
2023/24Fa CupChelsea FC217700—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueAS Monaco5450001481
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueAS Monaco6473011572
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingAS Monaco4390001539
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueAS Monaco2180001742

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Japhet Tanganga
Premier League · 2022
23€12.0M€1.8Mfell
Joe Rodon
Premier League · 2021
24€10.0M€7.0Mfell
Rob Holding
Premier League · 2020
25€9.5M€10.0Mflat
Eric Bailly
Premier League · 2019
25€25.0M€15.0Mfell
Emerson
Premier League · 2019
25€15.0M€12.0Mfell
Micah Richards
Premier League · 2013
25€16.0M€5.5Mfell
Axel Tuanzebe
Premier League · 2022
25€7.0M€2.2Mfell
Ben Johnson
Premier League · 2024
24€8.0M€7.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
5 Jan 2023MonacoChelsea€38.0M€40.0M
1 Jul 2018Monaco U19MonacoUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017AS Monaco U17Monaco U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016SC Malesh. Jgd.AS Monaco U17Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Limoges FC Jgd.SC Malesh. Jgd.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Benoît Badiashile · MoneyballAI