
Axel Tuanzebe
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Axel Tuanzebe's performance-implied value at EUR 4.3M-8.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.7M-7.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-3.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 14
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 71.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.9M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -44% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1202 (35% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 71 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1343
- Opponent strength
- 1617
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €3.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 15 pts; changed club; role change RB -> CB; relative output up 49% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -53% to -31%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1202 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Burnley FC | Premier League | CB | 14 | 1202 | 35% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 1617 | 1343 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Ipswich Town | Premier League | RB | 22 | 1717 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 1590 | 1322 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Aston Villa | Premier League | CB | 9 | 505 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1572 | 1520 | 1.17 |
| 2021/22 | SSC Napoli | Serie A | CB | 1 | 10 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1399 | 1645 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | Manchester United | Premier League | CB | 9 | 403 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1485 | 1741 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Manchester United | Premier League | CB | 5 | 187 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1616 | 1720 | 1.14 |
| 2017/18 | Manchester United | Premier League | CB | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1501 | 1747 | 1.15 |
| 2016/17 | Manchester United | Premier League | DM | 4 | 305 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1575 | 1694 | 1.07 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Ipswich Town | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Stoke City | 1 | 76 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | SSC Napoli | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester United | 5 | 201 | 0 | 0 | 1624 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Manchester United | 3 | 139 | 0 | 0 | 1547 |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Manchester United | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1501 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester United | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1594 |
| 2016/17 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimitrios Giannoulis Premier League · 2022 | 27 | €5.0M | €2.8M | fell |
| Junior Firpo Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €10.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Christoph Zimmermann Premier League · 2020 | 27 | €2.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Duje Caleta-Car Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €11.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Sead Kolasinac Bundesliga · 2021 | 28 | €6.5M | €8.0M | rose |
| Kévin Rodrigues Laliga · 2021 | 27 | €3.5M | €2.3M | fell |
| Adam Masina Premier League · 2022 | 28 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Marvin Zeegelaar Premier League · 2018 | 28 | €3.0M | €1.2M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Ipswich | Burnley | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 8 Sept 2023 | Without Club | Ipswich | Unknown | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Man Utd | Without Club | Unknown | €4.5M |
| 31 May 2023 | Stoke City | Man Utd | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Man Utd | Stoke City | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Napoli | Man Utd | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 7 Jan 2022 | Man Utd | Napoli | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 6 Jan 2022 | Aston Villa | Man Utd | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 8 Aug 2021 | Man Utd | Aston Villa | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 31 May 2019 | Aston Villa | Man Utd | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 6 Aug 2018 | Man Utd | Aston Villa | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 31 May 2018 | Aston Villa | Man Utd | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 25 Jan 2018 | Man Utd | Aston Villa | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 1 Jan 2017 | Man Utd U18 | Man Utd | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Man Utd Youth | Man Utd U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.