
Yann Gboho
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yann Gboho's performance-implied value at EUR 5.5M-13.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.7M-19.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.9M-21.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (2610 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 75
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 72.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €10.3M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2610 (85% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.38
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 73 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1471
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.9M – €21.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +30% (IQR -36% to +46%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | LW | 31 | 2610 | 85% | 8 | 3 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 1471 | 1442 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | LW | 31 | 2342 | 77% | 5 | 4 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 1453 | 1437 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | LW | 20 | 1391 | 52% | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1381 | 1394 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | FC Toulouse | Ligue 1 | LW | 16 | 1200 | 39% | 3 | 4 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 1494 | 1437 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 23 | 682 | 22% | 2 | 4 | 0.79 | 0.58 | 1324 | 1373 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Vitesse Arnhem | Eredivisie | AM | 17 | 964 | 32% | 2 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1310 | 1379 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | AM | 10 | 298 | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1442 | 1445 | 0.75 |
| 2019/20 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | AM | 8 | 223 | 9% | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.44 | 1408 | 1507 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Toulouse | 2 | 166 | 0 | 0 | 1681 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Vitesse Arnhem | 4 | 307 | 1 | 1 | 1409 |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Vitesse Arnhem | 2 | 121 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Stade Rennais FC | 4 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 1626 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Stade Rennais FC | 3 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 1541 |
| 2019/20 | Trophee Des Champions | Stade Rennais FC | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1714 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papu Gómez Serie A · 2013 | 25 | €11.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Giovanni Simeone Serie A · 2020 | 25 | €13.5M | €17.0M | rose |
| Antonio Candreva Serie A · 2014 | 27 | €16.5M | €23.0M | rose |
| Enes Ünal Laliga · 2023 | 26 | €25.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Terem Moffi Ligue 1 · 2023 | 24 | €20.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Randal Kolo Muani Ligue 1 · 2022 | 24 | €16.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Taty Castellanos Laliga · 2023 | 25 | €15.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Emiliano Sala Ligue 1 · 2018 | 28 | €12.0M | €16.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2024 | Cercle Brugge | Toulouse | €2.5M | €2.5M |
| 19 Aug 2022 | Stade Rennais | Cercle Brugge | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Vitesse | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 22 Jul 2021 | Stade Rennais | Vitesse | Free / loan | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Rennes B | Stade Rennais | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Rennes U17 | Rennes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | FC Rouen Jugend | Rennes U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.