Yann Gboho

25 yrs · Left winger (also AM) · France
FC Toulouse · Ligue 1 · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€18.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€7.7M – €19.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€5.5M – €13.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€7.9M – €21.3M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€13.5M – €6.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€7.7M – €19.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.5M – €13.9M
Projected value (24 months)€7.9M – €21.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yann Gboho's performance-implied value at EUR 5.5M-13.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.7M-19.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.9M-21.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.00x the positional average in the league (2610 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 75

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average72.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.5 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €10.3M vs market €18.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-27% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.88
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €18.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2610 (85% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.38
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.41
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
73 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.88 (rank 5)
Team strength (Elo)
1442
Opponent strength
1471
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€7.9M – €21.3M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +30% (IQR -36% to +46%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC ToulouseLigue 1LW31261085%830.380.41147114420.88
2024/25FC ToulouseLigue 1LW31234277%540.350.34145314370.88
2023/24Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueLW20139152%030.190.25138113940.63
2023/24FC ToulouseLigue 1LW16120039%340.530.54149414370.87
2022/23Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueAM2368222%240.790.58132413730.58
2021/22Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieAM1796432%200.190.25131013790.60
2020/21Stade Rennais FCLigue 1AM102989%000.000.27144214450.75
2019/20Stade Rennais FCLigue 1AM82239%110.810.44140815070.82

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueFC Toulouse2166001681
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingVitesse Arnhem4307111409
2021/22Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem212100—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueStade Rennais FC494001626
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueStade Rennais FC3124001541
2019/20Trophee Des ChampionsStade Rennais FC122001714

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Papu Gómez
Serie A · 2013
25€11.0M€4.5Mfell
Giovanni Simeone
Serie A · 2020
25€13.5M€17.0Mrose
Antonio Candreva
Serie A · 2014
27€16.5M€23.0Mrose
Enes Ünal
Laliga · 2023
26€25.0M€10.0Mfell
Terem Moffi
Ligue 1 · 2023
24€20.0M€15.0Mfell
Randal Kolo Muani
Ligue 1 · 2022
24€16.0M€45.0Mrose
Taty Castellanos
Laliga · 2023
25€15.0M€25.0Mrose
Emiliano Sala
Ligue 1 · 2018
28€12.0M€16.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
8 Jan 2024Cercle BruggeToulouse€2.5M€2.5M
19 Aug 2022Stade RennaisCercle BruggeFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2022VitesseStade RennaisFree / loan€2.5M
22 Jul 2021Stade RennaisVitesseFree / loan€4.5M
1 Jul 2019Rennes BStade RennaisUnknown€150k
1 Jul 2018Rennes U17Rennes BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016FC Rouen JugendRennes U17Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.