Randal Kolo Muani

The model rates Randal Kolo Muani's performance-implied value at EUR 17.0M-29.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.7M-28.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.8M-17.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.50x the positional average in the league (1669 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1669 (49% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.11

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.25

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

91 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1564

Opponent strength

1606

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€5.8M – €17.2M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength down (-107 Elo); league level up (+120 Elo); relative output down 40% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -55% to +51%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1669 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.