Eric García
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Eric García's performance-implied value at EUR 30.9M-67.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 30.1M-56.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 21.2M-49.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 22
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 97.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €42.8M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2730 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 98 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1787
- Opponent strength
- 1473
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €21.2M – €49.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 34 pts; relative output down 52% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -13% to +41%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 34 | 2730 | 80% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 1473 | 1787 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 29 | 1557 | 46% | 2 | 3 | 0.29 | 0.11 | 1492 | 1792 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Girona FC | Laliga | CB | 30 | 2641 | 77% | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 1505 | 1621 | 1.00 |
| 2023/24 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 2 | 56 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1546 | 1723 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 24 | 1415 | 41% | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 1471 | 1696 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | FC Barcelona | Laliga | CB | 26 | 2042 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1514 | 1686 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 6 | 380 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1513 | 1883 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Manchester City | Premier League | CB | 13 | 790 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1573 | 1848 | 1.14 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 11 | 781 | 0 | 0 | 1620 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 4 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 2 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 1627 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 9 | 275 | 2 | 0 | 1752 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 6 | 265 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1673 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Girona FC | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 4 | 222 | 0 | 1 | 1716 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 3 | 174 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Supercopa | FC Barcelona | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1826 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | FC Barcelona | 5 | 430 | 0 | 0 | 1489 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | FC Barcelona | 4 | 247 | 0 | 0 | 1701 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | FC Barcelona | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 3 | 208 | 0 | 0 | 1609 |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Manchester City | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1572 |
| 2019/20 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hermoso Laliga · 2021 | 26 | €35.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| David Alaba Bundesliga · 2019 | 27 | €55.0M | €55.0M | flat |
| Marquinhos Ligue 1 · 2017 | 23 | €35.0M | €65.0M | rose |
| Éder Militão Laliga · 2022 | 24 | €60.0M | €60.0M | flat |
| Clément Lenglet Laliga · 2020 | 25 | €48.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Sergi Roberto Laliga · 2017 | 25 | €25.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Alessandro Bastoni Serie A · 2021 | 22 | €60.0M | €60.0M | flat |
| Alex Sandro Serie A · 2017 | 26 | €35.0M | €45.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | Girona | Barcelona | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | Barcelona | Girona | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Man City | Barcelona | Free / loan | €20.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Man City U23 | Man City | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Man City U18 | Man City U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Barça U16 | Man City U18 | €1.7M | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.