Ansu Fati

The model rates Ansu Fati's performance-implied value at EUR 5.5M-20.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.8M-26.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.0M-24.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.34x the positional average in the league (1085 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1085 (36% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.91

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.55

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

74 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.88 (rank 5)

Team strength (Elo)

1527

Opponent strength

1423

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

insufficient

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€6.0M – €24.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -52% to +160%).

• ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1085 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.