Yukhym Konoplya

27 yrs · Right-back (also RM) · Ukraine
FC Shakhtar Donetsk · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€5.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.9M – €4.8M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€877k – €3.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.8M – €4.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.9M – €1.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.8M
Model value (performance-implied)€877k – €3.7M
Projected value (24 months)€1.8M – €4.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yukhym Konoplya's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-4.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.8M-4.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 44

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage47.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €3.3M vs market €5.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-37% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1301 (48% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.35
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.17
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
48 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1420
Opponent strength
1168
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.8M – €4.9M

Trajectory drivers: relative output up 306% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -40% to +14%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1301 league minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaRB18130148%230.350.17116814200.25
2024/25FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaRB13108840%000.000.04119114140.28
2023/24FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaRB21151556%110.120.07124614970.34
2022/23FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaRB18128448%210.210.11126215460.38
2021/22FC Shakhtar DonetskPremier LigaRB939224%151.380.24126415680.45
2020/21Desna ChernigivPremier LigaRB22180277%130.200.15126713310.49
2019/20Desna ChernigivPremier LigaRM1555128%030.490.35132413800.54

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingFC Shakhtar Donetsk2128001320
2025/26Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk19000—
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Shakhtar Donetsk152001318
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk7465021660
2023/24Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk429210—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk3256011657
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk2167001543
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk5419001728
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFC Shakhtar Donetsk3300011570
2021/22Ukrainian CupFC Shakhtar Donetsk15900—
2020/21Ukrainian CupDesna Chernigiv218000—
2020/21Uefa Europa League QualifyingDesna Chernigiv190001560
2019/20Ukrainian CupDesna Chernigiv218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Marcel Tisserand
Super Lig · 2021
28€3.4M€2.8Mflat
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Premier Liga · 2024
26€2.5M€2.5Mflat
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Premier Liga · 2023
26€3.0M€5.0Mrose
Attila Szalai
Super Lig · 2021
23€7.0M€14.0Mrose
Tin Jedvaj
Super League 1 · 2024
29€2.5M€2.0Mfell
Clément Michelin
Super League 1 · 2022
25€1.8M€1.2Mfell
Christian Luyindama
Super Lig · 2021
27€5.5M€800kfell
Martin Linnes
Super Lig · 2021
30€2.0M€900kfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026Shakhtar D.MönchengladbachFree / loan€5.0M
30 Jun 2021DesnaShakhtar D.Free / loan€2.5M
2 Jul 2019Shakhtar D.DesnaFree / loan€600k
1 Jul 2019Shakhtar IIShakhtar D.Unknown€600k
1 Jul 2017Shakhtar U19Shakhtar IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Yukhym Konoplya · MoneyballAI