Luis Binks
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Luis Binks's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-5.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.9M-5.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 58
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 32.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.1M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1530 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.12
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.08
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 33 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1336
- Opponent strength
- 1252
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.9M – €5.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -46% to +50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1530 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bröndby IF | Superliga | CB | 17 | 1530 | 77% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1252 | 1336 | 0.47 |
| 2021/22 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | CB | 15 | 641 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1436 | 1395 | 0.89 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Bröndby IF | 4 | 342 | 0 | 0 | 1455 |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Bröndby IF | 2 | 210 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin Rosier Super Lig · 2022 | 26 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Ionuț Nedelcearu Super League 1 · 2021 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Ilya Vakhania Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €1.7M | €3.0M | rose |
| Kara Mbodj Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 26 | €4.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| Evgeniy Morozov Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €2.8M | €4.0M | rose |
| Derrick Tshimanga Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 26 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Bünyamin Balcı Super Lig · 2023 | 23 | €4.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Miroslav Bogosavac Premier Liga · 2023 | 27 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | Coventry | Bröndby IF | €3.0M | €2.2M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Bologna | Coventry | €3.8M | €2.2M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Coventry | Bologna | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 28 Jul 2023 | Bologna | Coventry | Free / loan | €2.8M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Como | Bologna | Free / loan | €2.8M |
| 18 Jul 2022 | Bologna | Como | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Montréal | Bologna | Free / loan | €900k |
| 14 Aug 2020 | Bologna | Montréal | Free / loan | €100k |
| 13 Aug 2020 | Montréal | Bologna | €97k | €100k |
| 18 Feb 2020 | Spurs U18 | Montreal | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Tottenham Yth. | Spurs U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.