Mady Camara

29 yrs · Central midfielder · Guinea
Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton · Super League 1 · Foot: right · Height: 182 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€5.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€1.3M – €4.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€699k – €2.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.0M – €3.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.4M – €1.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €4.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€699k – €2.6M
Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €3.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Mady Camara's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.49x the positional average in the league (563 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceAverage53.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable29.3 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €1.8M vs market €5.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-63% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €15.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
563 (24% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
54 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1461
Opponent strength
1209
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.0M – €3.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 38 pts; team strength up (+83 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 65% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -62% to -7%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲Small sample: 563 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
14 (MID)
Relative output kept
67%–189%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
64%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CM2156324%000.000.11120914610.43
2024/25Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1CM24144762%710.500.30125213780.35
2023/24Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM17127755%100.070.10123514900.42
2022/23Associazione Sportiva RomaSerie ACM1569820%000.000.10150315780.94
2021/22Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM22139560%010.060.09126914990.39
2020/21Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM22180577%240.300.19126815310.39
2019/20Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM22162870%210.170.13128315910.46
2018/19Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon PeiraiosSuper League 1CM24153657%610.410.30131715570.43

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton725911—
2025/26Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton8229001497
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4155101367
2024/25Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton9634011527
2024/25Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton433610—
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4177001408
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton2100001269
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios6537001478
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4268011416
2023/24Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios214900—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueAssociazione Sportiva Roma6218011448
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios2122001424
2022/23Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios168001395
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios8576011505
2021/22Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios429000—
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios3253101432
2021/22Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios2117101372
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4360001630
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4288101702
2020/21Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios527300—
2020/21Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios2180001441
2019/20Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios544612—
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios5418001675
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4365001668
2019/20Uefa Champions League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios692001523
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios6529011460
2018/19Uefa Europa League QualifyingOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios4342001406
2018/19Kypello ElladasOlympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios215800—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Tonny Vilhena
Super League 1 · 2024
29€3.0M€500kfell
Andreas Bouchalakis
Super Lig · 2023
30€3.0M€350kfell
Salih Uçan
Super Lig · 2022
28€3.0M€4.0Mrose
Glen Kamara
Scottish Premiership · 2023
28€5.5M€5.0Mflat
Charlie Mulgrew
Scottish Premiership · 2015
29€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Tolgay Arslan
Super Lig · 2019
29€3.0M€3.0Mflat
Mijat Gacinovic
Super League 1 · 2024
29€3.0M€1.5Mfell
Anderson Esiti
Super League 1 · 2020
26€2.8M€2.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024OlympiacosPAOKFree / loan€6.0M
30 Jun 2023RomaOlympiacosFree / loan€10.0M
31 Aug 2022OlympiacosRomaFree / loan€11.0M
1 Jul 2018AC AjaccioOlympiacos€600k€300k
1 Jul 2016Santoba FCAC AjaccioFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.