
Mady Camara
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mady Camara's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-2.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.49x the positional average in the league (563 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 53.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.8M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -63% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1164 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 563 (24% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 54 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1209
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €3.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 38 pts; team strength up (+83 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output down 65% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -62% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 563 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CM | 21 | 563 | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1209 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | CM | 24 | 1447 | 62% | 7 | 1 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 1252 | 1378 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 17 | 1277 | 55% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 1235 | 1490 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Associazione Sportiva Roma | Serie A | CM | 15 | 698 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1503 | 1578 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 22 | 1395 | 60% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 1269 | 1499 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 22 | 1805 | 77% | 2 | 4 | 0.30 | 0.19 | 1268 | 1531 | 0.39 |
| 2019/20 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 22 | 1628 | 70% | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 1283 | 1591 | 0.46 |
| 2018/19 | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | Super League 1 | CM | 24 | 1536 | 57% | 6 | 1 | 0.41 | 0.30 | 1317 | 1557 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 7 | 259 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 8 | 229 | 0 | 0 | 1497 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 155 | 1 | 0 | 1367 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 9 | 634 | 0 | 1 | 1527 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 336 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 177 | 0 | 0 | 1408 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 1269 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 537 | 0 | 0 | 1478 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 268 | 0 | 1 | 1416 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 149 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Associazione Sportiva Roma | 6 | 218 | 0 | 1 | 1448 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 122 | 0 | 0 | 1424 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 1 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1395 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 8 | 576 | 0 | 1 | 1505 |
| 2021/22 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 290 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 3 | 253 | 1 | 0 | 1432 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 117 | 1 | 0 | 1372 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1630 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 288 | 1 | 0 | 1702 |
| 2020/21 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 273 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1441 |
| 2019/20 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 446 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 5 | 418 | 0 | 0 | 1675 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 365 | 0 | 0 | 1668 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 6 | 529 | 0 | 1 | 1460 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 4 | 342 | 0 | 0 | 1406 |
| 2018/19 | Kypello Elladas | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios | 2 | 158 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonny Vilhena Super League 1 · 2024 | 29 | €3.0M | €500k | fell |
| Andreas Bouchalakis Super Lig · 2023 | 30 | €3.0M | €350k | fell |
| Salih Uçan Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Glen Kamara Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 28 | €5.5M | €5.0M | flat |
| Charlie Mulgrew Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 29 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Tolgay Arslan Super Lig · 2019 | 29 | €3.0M | €3.0M | flat |
| Mijat Gacinovic Super League 1 · 2024 | 29 | €3.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Anderson Esiti Super League 1 · 2020 | 26 | €2.8M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Olympiacos | PAOK | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Roma | Olympiacos | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Olympiacos | Roma | Free / loan | €11.0M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | AC Ajaccio | Olympiacos | €600k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Santoba FC | AC Ajaccio | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.