Anouar Ait El Hadj

24 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM, LW) · Belgium
Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 167 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€5.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.7M – €7.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€4.2M – €13.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.8M – €7.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.8M – €10.8M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €7.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€4.2M – €13.5M
Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €7.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anouar Ait El Hadj's performance-implied value at EUR 4.2M-13.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.7M-7.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.8M-7.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.35x the positional average in the league (1963 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 60

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average64.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.2 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €4.3M vs market €5.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-5% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapLargeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €6.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1963 (73% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.09
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.14
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
65 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1570
Opponent strength
1374
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.8M – €7.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 33 pts; relative output down 44% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -50% (IQR -80% to +0%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
60 (MID)
Relative output kept
63%–142%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueAM28196373%020.090.14137415700.65
2024/25Union Saint-GilloiseJupiler Pro LeagueAM19108340%310.330.25132715450.63
2023/24KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueAM928110%200.640.36134214590.63
2022/23KRC GenkJupiler Pro LeagueAM91174%000.000.24130814950.58
2022/23RSC AnderlechtJupiler Pro LeagueAM3953%100.950.29123914320.58
2021/22RSC AnderlechtJupiler Pro LeagueLW2385828%210.310.25133214590.49
2020/21RSC AnderlechtJupiler Pro LeagueCM22141046%300.190.15133714570.55
2019/20RSC AnderlechtJupiler Pro LeagueAM2271%000.000.26124014430.63

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Playoff IUnion Saint-Gilloise10693231410
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueUnion Saint-Gilloise7528111683
2025/26Volkswagen SupercupUnion Saint-Gilloise162001552
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueUnion Saint-Gilloise7309011521
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingUnion Saint-Gilloise276001601
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingKRC Genk281001466
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingKRC Genk127001399
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingRSC Anderlecht180001323
2021/22Uefa Conference League QualifyingRSC Anderlecht2100001303

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Alper Potuk
Super Lig · 2017
26€5.5M€850kfell
Anderson Esiti
Jupiler Pro League · 2018
24€3.0M€2.8Mflat
Denis Terentjev
Premier Liga · 2017
25€2.0M€750kfell
Tolga Cigerci
Super Lig · 2017
25€3.0M€600kfell
Mathias Kjølø
Eredivisie · 2024
23€5.0M€1.0Mfell
Wilmar Barrios
Premier Liga · 2020
27€16.0M€20.0Mrose
Fred
Premier Liga · 2015
22€12.0M€8.0Mfell
Hans Hateboer
Serie A · 2018
24€7.0M€12.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
13 Jul 2024GenkUnion SG€1.5M€2.5M
18 Jan 2023RSC AnderlechtGenk€2.0M€2.0M
1 Jul 2019Anderlecht U18RSC AnderlechtUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Anderlecht U17Anderlecht U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Anderlecht Yth.Anderlecht U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012KAA Gent YouthAnderlecht Yth.Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.