Vitezslav Jaros
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vitezslav Jaros's performance-implied value at EUR 2.1M-10.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.6M-6.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.5M-7.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 62
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 57.6th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €3.9M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1710 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 58 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1405
- Opponent strength
- 1274
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.5M – €7.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -37% (IQR -63% to -11%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1710 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 217 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 70%–152%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 19 | 1710 | 56% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1274 | 1405 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | GK | 1 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1528 | 1800 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 540 | 0 | 0 | 1587 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Kapino Super League 1 · 2017 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Aleksandr Maksimenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €2.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Aleksandr Selikhov Premier Liga · 2022 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Yohann Thuram Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 27 | €1.7M | €500k | fell |
| Diant Ramaj Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €18.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Nikola Vasilj Premier Liga · 2021 | 26 | €1.2M | €800k | fell |
| Patrick Pentz Superliga · 2024 | 27 | €3.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Georgiy Bushchan Premier Liga · 2020 | 26 | €1.4M | €9.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Ajax | Liverpool | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Liverpool | Ajax | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Sturm Graz | Liverpool | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 9 Jan 2024 | Liverpool | Sturm Graz | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 May 2023 | Stockport | Liverpool | Free / loan | €150k |
| 4 Jul 2022 | Liverpool | Stockport | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Liverpool U21 | Liverpool | Unknown | €100k |
| 31 May 2022 | Notts County | Liverpool U23 | Free / loan | €100k |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Liverpool U23 | Notts County | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Nov 2021 | St. Pat's | Liverpool U23 | Free / loan | €75k |
| 3 Feb 2021 | Liverpool U23 | St. Pat's | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Liverpool U18 | Liverpool U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Slavia U17 | Liverpool U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Slavia Yth. | Slavia U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 2 May 2011 | Pribram Yth. | Slavia Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.