Diant Ramaj
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Diant Ramaj's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-5.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.9M-9.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.6M-10.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 53
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 60th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €6.1M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2790 (91% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.05
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1323
- Opponent strength
- 1505
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.6M – €10.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 74 pts; changed club; team strength down (-94 Elo); league level up (+218 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -36% to +164%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | Bundesliga | GK | 31 | 2790 | 91% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1505 | 1323 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | GK | 5 | 450 | 23% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1264 | 1399 | 0.38 |
| 2024/25 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1208 | 1505 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | GK | 22 | 1822 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1336 | 1439 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1606 | 1541 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1410 | 1594 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1547 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartłomiej Drągowski Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Guglielmo Vicario Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €10.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Marco Sportiello Serie A · 2015 | 23 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Luís Maximiano Laliga · 2024 | 25 | €5.0M | €3.2M | fell |
| Finn Dahmen Bundesliga · 2024 | 26 | €5.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Oliver Christensen Bundesliga · 2023 | 24 | €4.0M | €1.5M | fell |
| Mike Maignan Ligue 1 · 2018 | 23 | €4.0M | €17.5M | rose |
| Brice Samba Ligue 1 · 2019 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Heidenheim | Dortmund | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 28 Jul 2025 | Dortmund | Heidenheim | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Copenhagen | Dortmund | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 4 Feb 2025 | Dortmund | Copenhagen | Free / loan | €7.0M |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Ajax | Dortmund | €5.0M | €7.0M |
| 3 Aug 2023 | Frankfurt | Ajax | €5.0M | €750k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Heidenheim | Frankfurt | €100k | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Heidenheim U19 | Heidenheim | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | St. Kickers U17 | Heidenheim U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | S. Kickers Yth. | St. Kickers U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Stuttgart Yth. | S. Kickers Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Cannstatt Jgd. | Stuttgart Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.