Ewoud Pletinckx

26 yrs · Centre-back · Belgium
Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League · Foot: right · Height: 190 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€1.8M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€789k – €2.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€992k – €3.5M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€976k – €2.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.4M – €2.7M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€789k – €2.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€992k – €3.5M
Projected value (24 months)€976k – €2.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ewoud Pletinckx's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 43

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage44.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.7 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.5M vs market €1.8M
Expected appreciationLow-22% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.65
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2638 (98% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.10
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
45 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.65 (rank 6)
Team strength (Elo)
1329
Opponent strength
1380
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€976k – €2.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 67 pts; relative output down 40% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -43% to +10%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
76 (DEF)
Relative output kept
67%–160%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
76%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCB30263898%300.100.10138013290.65
2024/25Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCB1183131%110.220.16136813230.63
2023/24Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCB302700100%300.100.12138913020.63
2022/23Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler Pro LeagueCB32281292%010.030.05131113380.58
2021/22Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueCB27223173%110.080.09135811990.49
2020/21Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueCB23112037%200.160.13139612900.55
2019/20Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueCB22183570%000.000.03138413060.63
2018/19Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro LeagueCB980330%000.000.04134113450.65

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Jupiler Pro League Europe Play OffsOud-Heverlee Leuven10900001376

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Igor Perduta
Premier Liga · 2014
24€1.2M€600kfell
Strahil Popov
Super Lig · 2017
27€2.0M€1.3Mfell
Jemal Tabidze
Premier Liga · 2020
24€2.0M€1.8Mflat
Dorian Dessoleil
Jupiler Pro League · 2018
26€2.5M€2.4Mflat
Vyacheslav Karavaev
Eredivisie · 2019
24€3.0M€7.0Mrose
Zeki Yavru
Super Lig · 2016
25€2.0M€650kfell
Rafa Soares
Liga Portugal · 2022
27€2.0M€1.2Mfell
Nazım Sangaré
Super Lig · 2019
25€1.5M€2.5Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2022Zulte WaregemOH Leuven€750k€1.2M
1 Jul 2018SVZW U21Zulte WaregemUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Zulte War. U17SVZW U21UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Ewoud Pletinckx · MoneyballAI