
Ewoud Pletinckx
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ewoud Pletinckx's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-3.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 43
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 44.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.5M vs market €1.8M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -22% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2638 (98% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1329
- Opponent strength
- 1380
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €976k – €2.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 67 pts; relative output down 40% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -43% to +10%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 30 | 2638 | 98% | 3 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1380 | 1329 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 11 | 831 | 31% | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 1368 | 1323 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 30 | 2700 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 1389 | 1302 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 32 | 2812 | 92% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 1311 | 1338 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 27 | 2231 | 73% | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1358 | 1199 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 1120 | 37% | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 1396 | 1290 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 22 | 1835 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1384 | 1306 | 0.63 |
| 2018/19 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 9 | 803 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1341 | 1345 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 10 | 900 | 0 | 0 | 1376 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Perduta Premier Liga · 2014 | 24 | €1.2M | €600k | fell |
| Strahil Popov Super Lig · 2017 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Jemal Tabidze Premier Liga · 2020 | 24 | €2.0M | €1.8M | flat |
| Dorian Dessoleil Jupiler Pro League · 2018 | 26 | €2.5M | €2.4M | flat |
| Vyacheslav Karavaev Eredivisie · 2019 | 24 | €3.0M | €7.0M | rose |
| Zeki Yavru Super Lig · 2016 | 25 | €2.0M | €650k | fell |
| Rafa Soares Liga Portugal · 2022 | 27 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Nazım Sangaré Super Lig · 2019 | 25 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2022 | Zulte Waregem | OH Leuven | €750k | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2018 | SVZW U21 | Zulte Waregem | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Zulte War. U17 | SVZW U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.