Jorge Cuenca
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jorge Cuenca's performance-implied value at EUR 8.9M-25.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.1M-11.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.6M-10.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 16
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 81.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €8.5M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 938 (27% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 82 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1576
- Opponent strength
- 1614
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.6M – €10.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -29% (IQR -55% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 938 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fulham FC | Premier League | CB | 15 | 938 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1614 | 1576 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Fulham FC | Premier League | CB | 8 | 350 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1732 | 1555 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 29 | 1960 | 57% | 3 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 1511 | 1577 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | CB | 10 | 503 | 15% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1452 | 1581 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Getafe CF | Laliga | CB | 32 | 2687 | 79% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 1539 | 1458 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Fulham FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 5 | 365 | 0 | 0 | 1520 |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 3 | 330 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Villarreal CF | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1417 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Godfrey Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €10.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Alberto Moreno Laliga · 2020 | 28 | €6.0M | €5.0M | flat |
| Joe Rodon Premier League · 2021 | 24 | €10.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Pablo Marí Premier League · 2021 | 28 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Eliaquim Mangala Laliga · 2020 | 29 | €6.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Rob Holding Premier League · 2020 | 25 | €9.5M | €10.0M | flat |
| Axel Tuanzebe Premier League · 2022 | 25 | €7.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Neven Subotic Bundesliga · 2017 | 29 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2024 | Villarreal | Fulham | €6.7M | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Getafe | Villarreal | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 30 Aug 2021 | Villarreal | Getafe | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | UD Almería | Villarreal | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 22 Sept 2020 | Villarreal | UD Almería | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 21 Sept 2020 | Barcelona B | Villarreal | €3.8M | €2.3M |
| 18 Jul 2017 | AD Alcorcón B | Barcelona B | €400k | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2017 | Alcorcón U19 | AD Alcorcón B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | AD Alcorcón You | Alcorcón U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.