
Víctor Gómez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Víctor Gómez's performance-implied value at EUR 3.5M-9.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.2M-11.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.4M-13.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (2480 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 40
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 70.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.4M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.58 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2480 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.25
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 70 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.58 (rank 9)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1533
- Opponent strength
- 1328
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.4M – €13.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 19 pts; role change RB -> RM.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -22% to +25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 58 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 72%–151%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | SC Braga | Liga Portugal | RM | 32 | 2480 | 81% | 1 | 6 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 1328 | 1533 | 0.58 |
| 2024/25 | SC Braga | Liga Portugal | RB | 27 | 1908 | 62% | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 1370 | 1478 | 0.51 |
| 2023/24 | SC Braga | Liga Portugal | RB | 30 | 2050 | 67% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 1393 | 1499 | 0.58 |
| 2022/23 | SC Braga | Liga Portugal | RB | 26 | 2065 | 67% | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 0.13 | 1394 | 1557 | 0.68 |
| 2019/20 | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | Laliga | RM | 18 | 1268 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1606 | 1432 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | SC Braga | 13 | 1125 | 0 | 4 | 1497 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | SC Braga | 4 | 311 | 1 | 0 | 1349 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | SC Braga | 6 | 538 | 0 | 1 | 1442 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | SC Braga | 6 | 312 | 0 | 1 | 1583 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | SC Braga | 4 | 330 | 0 | 1 | 1392 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | SC Braga | 4 | 314 | 0 | 0 | 1651 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | SC Braga | 2 | 139 | 0 | 0 | 1539 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | SC Braga | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1477 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 2 | 166 | 0 | 0 | 1655 |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | RCD Espanyol Barcelona | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio Liga Portugal · 2020 | 25 | €13.5M | €30.0M | rose |
| Younès Belhanda Premier Liga · 2015 | 25 | €9.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Steven Defour Jupiler Pro League · 2016 | 28 | €7.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Claudinho Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €18.0M | €13.0M | fell |
| Charles Vanhoutte Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 26 | €4.5M | €7.0M | rose |
| Moatasem Al-Musrati Liga Portugal · 2022 | 26 | €12.0M | €14.0M | flat |
| Marcos Acuña Liga Portugal · 2018 | 27 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Alessio Castro-Montes Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 27 | €6.0M | €2.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Espanyol | Braga | €2.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Braga | Espanyol | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Espanyol | Braga | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Málaga CF | Espanyol | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Espanyol | Málaga CF | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | CD Mirandés | Espanyol | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 10 Sept 2020 | Espanyol | CD Mirandés | Free / loan | €2.3M |
| 1 Oct 2019 | RCD Espanyol B | Espanyol | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Espanyol U19 | RCD Espanyol B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Espanyol Youth | Espanyol U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.