Víctor Gómez

26 yrs · Right-back (also RM) · Spain
SC Braga · Liga Portugal · Foot: right · Height: 171 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€10.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€6.2M – €11.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.5M – €9.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€5.4M – €13.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€7.8M – €3.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€6.2M – €11.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.5M – €9.3M
Projected value (24 months)€5.4M – €13.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Víctor Gómez's performance-implied value at EUR 3.5M-9.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.2M-11.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.4M-13.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (2480 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 40

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average70.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.2 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €9.4M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationLow-13% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €10.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2480 (81% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.25
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.16
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
70 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1533
Opponent strength
1328
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€5.4M – €13.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 19 pts; role change RB -> RM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -22% to +25%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (MID)
Relative output kept
72%–151%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SC BragaLiga PortugalRM32248081%160.250.16132815330.58
2024/25SC BragaLiga PortugalRB27190862%020.090.10137014780.51
2023/24SC BragaLiga PortugalRB30205067%030.130.11139314990.58
2022/23SC BragaLiga PortugalRB26206567%060.260.13139415570.68
2019/20RCD Espanyol BarcelonaLaligaRM18126837%000.000.17160614321.16

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga131125041497
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingSC Braga4311101349
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingSC Braga6538011442
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga6312011583
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingSC Braga4330011392
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSC Braga4314001651
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga2139001539
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga2135001477
2019/20Uefa Europa LeagueRCD Espanyol Barcelona2166001655
2019/20Copa Del ReyRCD Espanyol Barcelona11900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Otávio
Liga Portugal · 2020
25€13.5M€30.0Mrose
Younès Belhanda
Premier Liga · 2015
25€9.0M€9.0Mflat
Steven Defour
Jupiler Pro League · 2016
28€7.0M€7.0Mflat
Claudinho
Premier Liga · 2024
27€18.0M€13.0Mfell
Charles Vanhoutte
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
26€4.5M€7.0Mrose
Moatasem Al-Musrati
Liga Portugal · 2022
26€12.0M€14.0Mflat
Marcos Acuña
Liga Portugal · 2018
27€15.0M€12.0Mfell
Alessio Castro-Montes
Jupiler Pro League · 2024
27€6.0M€2.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023EspanyolBraga€2.0M€5.0M
30 Jun 2023BragaEspanyolFree / loan€5.0M
1 Jul 2022EspanyolBragaFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2022Málaga CFEspanyolFree / loan€2.5M
20 Aug 2021EspanyolMálaga CFFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2021CD MirandésEspanyolFree / loan€2.5M
10 Sept 2020EspanyolCD MirandésFree / loan€2.3M
1 Oct 2019RCD Espanyol BEspanyolUnknown€300k
1 Jul 2018Espanyol U19RCD Espanyol BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Espanyol YouthEspanyol U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.