Giorgi Mamardashvili

26 yrs · Goalkeeper · Georgia
Liverpool FC · Premier League · Foot: left · Height: 197 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: LowSample: LowDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2031
Market value
€28.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€19.5M – €40.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€15.7M – €25.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€16.9M – €32.9M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€24.5M – €6.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€19.5M – €40.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€15.7M – €25.9M
Projected value (24 months)€16.9M – €32.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Giorgi Mamardashvili's performance-implied value at EUR 15.7M-25.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 19.5M-40.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 16.9M-32.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: not assigned

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)

PerformanceHigh87.3th pct among GK peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.8 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €30.4M vs market €28.0M
Expected appreciationLow-15% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceLow

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €45.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
868 (25% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.00
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.00
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
87 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1682
Opponent strength
1651
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€16.9M – €32.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 64 pts; changed club; team strength up (+219 Elo); league level up (+125 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -34% to +17%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Small sample: 868 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Liverpool FCPremier LeagueGK1086825%000.000.00165116821.30
2024/25Valencia CFLaligaGK34306089%000.000.00151914630.95
2023/24Valencia CFLaligaGK37328596%000.000.00149014591.00
2022/23Valencia CFLaligaGK383420100%000.000.00150714440.98
2021/22Valencia CFLaligaGK18162047%000.000.00150814871.05

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueLiverpool FC7574001697
2025/26Fa CupLiverpool FC218000—
2022/23Copa Del ReyValencia CF325800—
2022/23SupercopaValencia CF1120001823
2021/22Copa Del ReyValencia CF330000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Dean Henderson
Premier League · 2021
24€22.0M€18.0Mflat
Kepa Arrizabalaga
Premier League · 2021
27€13.0M€18.0Mrose
Aaron Ramsdale
Premier League · 2024
26€25.0M€12.0Mfell
Robert Sánchez
Premier League · 2024
27€20.0M€22.0Mflat
Loris Karius
Premier League · 2017
24€8.0M€5.0Mfell
Wojciech Szczesny
Premier League · 2015
25€10.0M€17.0Mrose
Asmir Begovic
Premier League · 2016
29€12.0M€8.0Mfell
Fraser Forster
Premier League · 2016
28€15.0M€15.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2025ValenciaLiverpoolFree / loan€30.0M
28 Aug 2024LiverpoolValenciaFree / loan€45.0M
27 Aug 2024ValenciaLiverpool€30.0M€45.0M
1 Jan 2022Dinamo TbilisiValencia€3.9M€3.0M
31 Dec 2021ValenciaDinamo TbilisiFree / loan€3.0M
1 Jul 2021Dinamo TbilisiValenciaFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2021FC LocomotiveDinamo TbilisiFree / loan€800k
1 Jan 2020Dinamo TbilisiFC LocomotiveFree / loan€250k
31 Dec 2019RustaviDinamo TbilisiFree / loan€250k
1 Jan 2019Dinamo TbilisiRustaviFree / loan€25k
1 Jan 2018Dinamo AcademyDinamo TbilisiUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2012Gagra Acad.Dinamo AcademyUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.