
Giorgi Mamardashvili
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giorgi Mamardashvili's performance-implied value at EUR 15.7M-25.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 19.5M-40.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 16.9M-32.9M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | High | 87.3th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €30.4M vs market €28.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -15% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 285 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 868 (25% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 87 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1682
- Opponent strength
- 1651
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €16.9M – €32.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 64 pts; changed club; team strength up (+219 Elo); league level up (+125 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -10% (IQR -34% to +17%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 868 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | GK | 10 | 868 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1651 | 1682 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Valencia CF | Laliga | GK | 34 | 3060 | 89% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1519 | 1463 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Valencia CF | Laliga | GK | 37 | 3285 | 96% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1490 | 1459 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Valencia CF | Laliga | GK | 38 | 3420 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1507 | 1444 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Valencia CF | Laliga | GK | 18 | 1620 | 47% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1508 | 1487 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 7 | 574 | 0 | 0 | 1697 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 3 | 258 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Supercopa | Valencia CF | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1823 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Valencia CF | 3 | 300 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson Premier League · 2021 | 24 | €22.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Kepa Arrizabalaga Premier League · 2021 | 27 | €13.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| Aaron Ramsdale Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €25.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Robert Sánchez Premier League · 2024 | 27 | €20.0M | €22.0M | flat |
| Loris Karius Premier League · 2017 | 24 | €8.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Wojciech Szczesny Premier League · 2015 | 25 | €10.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Asmir Begovic Premier League · 2016 | 29 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Fraser Forster Premier League · 2016 | 28 | €15.0M | €15.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2025 | Valencia | Liverpool | Free / loan | €30.0M |
| 28 Aug 2024 | Liverpool | Valencia | Free / loan | €45.0M |
| 27 Aug 2024 | Valencia | Liverpool | €30.0M | €45.0M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Dinamo Tbilisi | Valencia | €3.9M | €3.0M |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Valencia | Dinamo Tbilisi | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dinamo Tbilisi | Valencia | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Locomotive | Dinamo Tbilisi | Free / loan | €800k |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Dinamo Tbilisi | FC Locomotive | Free / loan | €250k |
| 31 Dec 2019 | Rustavi | Dinamo Tbilisi | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Dinamo Tbilisi | Rustavi | Free / loan | €25k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Dinamo Academy | Dinamo Tbilisi | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Gagra Acad. | Dinamo Academy | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.