Robert Sánchez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Robert Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 23.8M-46.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.2M-30.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.2M-17.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 3
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 98th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €20.6M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3041 (89% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 98 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1615
- Opponent strength
- 1580
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.2M – €17.1M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-84 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -62% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | GK | 35 | 3041 | 89% | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1580 | 1615 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | GK | 32 | 2880 | 84% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1583 | 1699 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Chelsea FC | Premier League | GK | 16 | 1434 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1601 | 1629 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | GK | 23 | 2070 | 61% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1564 | 1619 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | GK | 37 | 3330 | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1573 | 1537 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | GK | 27 | 2430 | 71% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1566 | 1492 | 1.19 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Chelsea FC | 8 | 675 | 0 | 0 | 1672 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Chelsea FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Martínez Premier League · 2023 | 31 | €28.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Bernd Leno Premier League · 2021 | 29 | €22.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Neto Laliga · 2019 | 30 | €18.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Tomáš Vaclík Laliga · 2019 | 30 | €18.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Jordan Pickford Premier League · 2021 | 27 | €22.0M | €22.0M | flat |
| Guglielmo Vicario Premier League · 2024 | 28 | €35.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Nick Pope Premier League · 2023 | 31 | €20.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| David Raya Premier League · 2023 | 28 | €30.0M | €40.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2023 | Brighton | Chelsea | €23.0M | €22.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Brighton U23 | Brighton | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2020 | Rochdale | Brighton U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 24 Jul 2019 | Brighton U23 | Rochdale | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 4 Jan 2019 | Forest Green | Brighton U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Brighton U23 | Forest Green | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Brighton U18 | Brighton U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Levante UD Yout | Brighton U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Cartagena FC | Levante UD Yout | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.