Muharrem Jashari
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Muharrem Jashari's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.25x the positional average in the league (1313 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 77
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 27.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €554k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1313 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.48
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.50
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 27 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1242
- Opponent strength
- 1167
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €377k – €987k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 43 pts; team strength up (+132 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -52% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1313 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | AM | 20 | 1313 | 49% | 3 | 4 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 1167 | 1242 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | AM | 29 | 2485 | 92% | 5 | 7 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 1202 | 1110 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | LNZ Cherkasy | Premier Liga | AM | 13 | 1104 | 41% | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.35 | 1279 | 1179 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 2 | 146 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | LNZ Cherkasy | 1 | 74 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Drita | 2 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 1495 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talles Brener Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Pavlo Orikhovskyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 28 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Mark O'Hara Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €700k | €500k | fell |
| Vladyslav Kalitvintsev Premier Liga · 2023 | 30 | €800k | €400k | fell |
| Keanu Baccus Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €900k | €700k | fell |
| Aias Aosman Super League 1 · 2023 | 29 | €600k | €250k | fell |
| Aytaç Kara Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €2.3M | €850k | fell |
| Juan Muñiz Super League 1 · 2021 | 29 | €450k | €450k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2024 | FC Drita | LNZ Cherkasy | €50k | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | KF Trepca 89 | FC Drita | €75k | €200k |
| 25 Aug 2020 | FC Prishtina | KF Trepca 89 | Free / loan | €175k |
| 5 Aug 2020 | KF Trepca 89 | FC Prishtina | Free / loan | €175k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.