Vítor Tormena

30 yrs · Centre-back (also RB) · Brazil
FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 192 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€8.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€2.8M – €7.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€2.8M – €10.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.4M – €5.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.1M – €7.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.8M – €7.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.8M – €10.0M
Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €5.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Vítor Tormena's performance-implied value at EUR 2.8M-10.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.8M-7.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-5.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 15

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh76.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable30.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €5.3M vs market €8.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-52% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.56
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €9.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2370 (88% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.08
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.06
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
77 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.56 (rank 10)
Team strength (Elo)
1536
Opponent strength
1337
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€2.4M – €5.6M

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 32% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -51% to -24%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.56 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level estimated mainly from squad values (few matches vs other leagues).
  • ⚠Age 30: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
25 (DEF)
Relative output kept
48%–200%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
72%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FK KrasnodarPremier LigaCB27237088%110.080.05133715360.56
2024/25FK KrasnodarPremier LigaCB23205176%210.130.08129215110.55
2023/24FK KrasnodarPremier LigaCB23196373%000.000.02134414050.49
2022/23SC BragaLiga PortugalCB27234577%100.040.04140115570.68
2021/22SC BragaLiga PortugalCB25185961%000.000.02139415140.67
2020/21SC BragaLiga PortugalCB25191363%010.050.04134914930.61
2019/20SC BragaLiga PortugalCB436012%000.000.03137215220.59
2018/19Portimonense SCLiga PortugalRB26218271%130.160.17139912920.65

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Russian CupFK Krasnodar952200—
2025/26Russian Super CupFK Krasnodar190001478
2024/25Russian CupFK Krasnodar313500—
2024/25Russian Super CupFK Krasnodar190001491
2023/24Russian CupFK Krasnodar419000—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga5450001535
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga7612001532
2021/22Supercup Candido De OliveiraSC Braga145001617
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga6451101544
2019/20Uefa Europa League QualifyingSC Braga385001451

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Brandon Mechele
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
30€4.5M€3.5Mfell
Yaroslav Rakitskyi
Premier Liga · 2020
31€8.0M€6.0Mfell
Gökhan Gönül
Super Lig · 2015
30€8.0M€2.5Mfell
Papa Gueye
Premier Liga · 2014
30€6.0M€4.0Mfell
Sebastián Coates
Liga Portugal · 2020
30€8.0M€8.0Mflat
Douglas Santos
Premier Liga · 2024
30€12.0M€7.5Mfell
Fernando Varela
Super League 1 · 2018
31€3.0M€1.6Mfell
Paulo Oliveira
Liga Portugal · 2022
30€4.0M€1.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
18 Aug 2023BragaKrasnodar€3.0M€5.0M
1 Jul 2019Gil VicenteBraga€1.3M€700k
30 Jun 2019PortimonenseGil VicenteFree / loan€700k
31 Jul 2018Gil VicentePortimonenseFree / loan€350k
1 Jul 2017São Paulo U20Gil VicenteUnknownData unavailable
30 Jun 2017NovorizontinoSão Paulo U20Free / loanData unavailable
8 Jan 2017São Paulo U20NovorizontinoFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jan 2013São Paulo U17São Paulo U20UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2011São Paulo For.São Paulo U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.