Georginio Rutter
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Georginio Rutter's performance-implied value at EUR 29.3M-35.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.3M-43.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 18.0M-44.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.78x the positional average in the league (1791 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 27
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 90.7th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €33.5M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -7% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1791 (52% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.35
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.40
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 91 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1611
- Opponent strength
- 1615
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €18.0M – €44.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -42% (IQR -53% to +15%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1791 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | ST | 32 | 1791 | 52% | 3 | 4 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 1615 | 1611 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Premier League | ST | 28 | 1666 | 49% | 5 | 3 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1559 | 1614 | 1.23 |
| 2022/23 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | ST | 15 | 1011 | 33% | 2 | 2 | 0.36 | 0.49 | 1565 | 1444 | 1.04 |
| 2022/23 | Leeds United | Premier League | ST | 11 | 264 | 8% | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | 0.66 | 1606 | 1418 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | ST | 33 | 1605 | 52% | 8 | 4 | 0.67 | 0.57 | 1532 | 1479 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | ST | 9 | 234 | 8% | 1 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 1497 | 1525 | 1.06 |
| 2020/21 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | ST | 4 | 41 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.59 | 1544 | 1445 | 0.75 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 111 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Brighton & Hove Albion | 4 | 293 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 146 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 2 | 139 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 210 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Stade Rennais FC | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1677 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odsonne Édouard Premier League · 2023 | 25 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Dejan Kulusevski Premier League · 2023 | 23 | €50.0M | €50.0M | flat |
| Santi Mina Laliga · 2019 | 24 | €30.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin Premier League · 2019 | 22 | €20.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Demarai Gray Premier League · 2019 | 23 | €20.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Jadon Sancho Premier League · 2023 | 23 | €45.0M | €28.0M | fell |
| João Félix Premier League · 2023 | 24 | €50.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Gonçalo Guedes Laliga · 2020 | 24 | €22.5M | €40.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2024 | Leeds | Brighton | €46.7M | €18.0M |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Hoffenheim | Leeds | €40.5M | €16.0M |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Stade Rennais | Hoffenheim | €750k | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Rennes B | Stade Rennais | Unknown | €150k |
| 8 Aug 2018 | Rennes U17 | Rennes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Vannes Jugend | Rennes U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.