Tim Lemperle
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tim Lemperle's performance-implied value at EUR 3.2M-13.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.3M-24.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.3M-30.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.84x the positional average in the league (1960 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 67.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €18.9M vs market €17.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1960 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.46
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.43
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 68 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1508
- Opponent strength
- 1481
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €8.3M – €30.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -69% to +6%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | ST | 29 | 1960 | 64% | 8 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 1481 | 1508 | 0.94 |
| 2022/23 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | ST | 12 | 120 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 1579 | 1476 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | ST | 13 | 135 | 4% | 2 | 0 | 1.33 | 0.68 | 1521 | 1500 | 1.05 |
| 2019/20 | 1.FC Köln | Bundesliga | ST | 1 | 15 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 1426 | 1407 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | 1.FC Köln | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Bernardeschi Serie A · 2017 | 23 | €30.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Arnaud Kalimuendo Ligue 1 · 2024 | 22 | €20.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Josip Brekalo Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €15.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Enner Valencia Premier League · 2015 | 26 | €11.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Salomón Rondón Premier Liga · 2014 | 25 | €15.0M | €15.0M | flat |
| Terem Moffi Ligue 1 · 2024 | 25 | €25.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Lacina Traore Premier Liga · 2013 | 23 | €16.0M | €4.5M | fell |
| Jérémie Boga Serie A · 2021 | 24 | €20.0M | €14.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | 1.FC Köln | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Greuther Fürth | 1.FC Köln | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | 1.FC Köln | Greuther Fürth | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | 1.FC Köln U19 | 1.FC Köln | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | 1.FC Köln U17 | 1.FC Köln U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | 1.FC Köln Yth. | 1.FC Köln U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | FSV Frankf. Jgd | 1.FC Köln Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Mainz 05 Yth. | FSV Frankf. Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Makkabi Yth. | Mainz 05 Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.