Micky van de Ven
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Micky van de Ven's performance-implied value at EUR 26.5M-39.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 33.5M-73.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 28.3M-62.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 20
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 94.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €53.8M vs market €50.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3043 (89% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 95 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1564
- Opponent strength
- 1584
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €28.3M – €62.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 59 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -3% (IQR -10% to +18%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 35 | 3043 | 89% | 4 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 1584 | 1564 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 13 | 1018 | 30% | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 1581 | 1564 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Tottenham Hotspur | Premier League | CB | 27 | 2343 | 69% | 3 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1577 | 1588 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | CB | 33 | 2970 | 97% | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 1525 | 1525 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga | LB | 5 | 189 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 0.48 | 0.18 | 1617 | 1495 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 720 | 2 | 0 | 1591 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Netherlands | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Super Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1830 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 646 | 0 | 0 | 1572 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Digne Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €30.0M | €35.0M | flat |
| Pervis Estupiñán Premier League · 2023 | 25 | €32.0M | €30.0M | flat |
| Toti Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €20.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Nico Schlotterbeck Bundesliga · 2022 | 23 | €33.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Álvaro Odriozola Laliga · 2018 | 23 | €25.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Yerry Mina Premier League · 2020 | 26 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Sergio Reguilón Laliga · 2020 | 24 | €20.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Timothy Castagne Premier League · 2021 | 26 | €28.0M | €25.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2023 | Wolfsburg | Tottenham | €40.0M | €30.0M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | FC Volendam | Wolfsburg | €8.5M | €1.3M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Volendam U19 | FC Volendam | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Volendam U17 | Volendam U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Volendam Youth | Volendam U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | WSV '30 Yth. | Volendam Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.