José Marsà
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates José Marsà's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.4M-3.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.8M-3.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 43.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.9M vs market €3.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1699 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.21
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.16
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1370
- Opponent strength
- 1389
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.8M – €3.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 21 pts; relative output up 190% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -25% (IQR -48% to +4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1699 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 23 | 1699 | 63% | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 1389 | 1370 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 29 | 2275 | 84% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 1379 | 1350 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | Sporting CP | Liga Portugal | CB | 2 | 117 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1365 | 1669 | 0.68 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | KV Mechelen | 10 | 896 | 0 | 0 | 1482 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Sporting CP | 2 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 1601 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riechedly Bazoer Eredivisie · 2022 | 26 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Serdar Aziz Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €5.0M | €3.5M | fell |
| Antonio Milic Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 23 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Francesco Vicari Serie A · 2019 | 25 | €5.0M | €3.2M | fell |
| Boris Popović Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 24 | €3.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Eren Albayrak Super Lig · 2016 | 25 | €3.0M | €800k | fell |
| Bruno Gaspar Liga Portugal · 2017 | 24 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Adam Marusic Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 25 | €2.5M | €7.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2024 | FC Andorra | KV Mechelen | €160k | €800k |
| 3 Aug 2023 | Sporting | FC Andorra | €80k | €2.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Sporting Gijón | Sporting | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Sporting | Sporting Gijón | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Sporting B | Sporting | Unknown | €200k |
| 9 Jul 2021 | Barça U19 | Sporting B | Free / loan | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Barça U16 | Barça U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Barça Youth | Barça U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.