Federico Viñas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Federico Viñas's performance-implied value at EUR 1.6M-6.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.3M-4.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.5M-4.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (2451 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.
Bargain Index: 54
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 53.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.8M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2451 (72% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.58
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 53 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1294
- Opponent strength
- 1496
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.5M – €4.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -55% to -35%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Oviedo | Laliga | ST | 33 | 2451 | 72% | 9 | 1 | 0.37 | 0.58 | 1496 | 1294 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Uruguay | 3 | 193 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Oviedo | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Dionisi Serie A · 2016 | 29 | €3.0M | €1.9M | fell |
| Myrto Uzuni Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Sergio León Laliga · 2017 | 28 | €3.5M | €3.0M | flat |
| Ui-jo Hwang Ligue 1 · 2022 | 30 | €7.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Danilo Neco Premier Liga · 2013 | 27 | €1.5M | €900k | fell |
| Walid Cheddira Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €6.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Mikael Ishak Bundesliga · 2019 | 26 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Lucas Boyé Laliga · 2024 | 28 | €7.0M | €5.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Real Oviedo | León | Free / loan | €4.0M |
| 28 Aug 2024 | León | Real Oviedo | Free / loan | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | América | León | €3.5M | €1.5M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Juventud | América | €1.7M | €3.0M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | América | Juventud | Free / loan | €3.0M |
| 29 Aug 2019 | Juventud | América | Free / loan | €150k |
| 1 Feb 2018 | Juventud U19 | Juventud | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.