Armand Laurienté
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Armand Laurienté's performance-implied value at EUR 4.5M-18.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.6M-20.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.5M-20.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.58x the positional average in the league (2614 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 12
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 75.1th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €16.8M vs market €19.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2614 (76% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.55
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.65
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 75 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1406
- Opponent strength
- 1501
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.5M – €20.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -42% to +5%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 38 | 2614 | 76% | 7 | 9 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 1501 | 1405 | 0.93 |
| 2023/24 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 37 | 2926 | 86% | 5 | 6 | 0.34 | 0.46 | 1491 | 1330 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | US Sassuolo | Serie A | LW | 28 | 2190 | 64% | 7 | 6 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 1476 | 1420 | 0.94 |
| 2022/23 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | LW | 3 | 269 | 8% | 1 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.51 | 1391 | 1396 | 0.82 |
| 2021/22 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | LW | 35 | 2493 | 73% | 6 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 1440 | 1335 | 0.86 |
| 2020/21 | FC Lorient | Ligue 1 | LW | 29 | 1618 | 47% | 3 | 5 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 1441 | 1344 | 0.75 |
| 2018/19 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | LW | 1 | 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 1424 | 1488 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 1 | 68 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | US Sassuolo | 3 | 152 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessio Cerci Serie A · 2013 | 26 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Domenico Berardi Serie A · 2021 | 27 | €35.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Gabriel Strefezza Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €10.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Niclas Füllkrug Bundesliga · 2023 | 30 | €13.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Denis Bouanga Ligue 1 · 2022 | 28 | €8.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Franck Honorat Ligue 1 · 2022 | 26 | €10.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Raúl de Tomás Laliga · 2022 | 28 | €25.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Éder Serie A · 2015 | 29 | €12.0M | €10.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2022 | FC Lorient | Sassuolo | €10.1M | €7.0M |
| 8 Sept 2020 | Stade Rennais | FC Lorient | €3.0M | €1.0M |
| 30 Jun 2020 | FC Lorient | Stade Rennais | Free / loan | €450k |
| 1 Sept 2019 | Stade Rennais | FC Lorient | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jan 2019 | Rennes B | Stade Rennais | Unknown | €300k |
| 29 Jan 2019 | US Orléans | Rennes B | Free / loan | €300k |
| 23 Jul 2018 | Rennes B | US Orléans | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Rennes U19 | Rennes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Rennes Jugend | Rennes U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2013 | Red Star Jugend | Rennes Jugend | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Sarcelles Jgd. | Red Star Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | Clairef. Yth. | Sarcelles Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.