Martin Baturina
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Martin Baturina's performance-implied value at EUR 3.1M-21.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 21.1M-39.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 18.6M-52.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.22x the positional average in the league (1569 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 38
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 70.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €29.1M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -12% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1569 (46% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.52
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.49
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 71 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1530
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €18.6M – €52.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -45% to +50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1569 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Como 1907 | Serie A | AM | 29 | 1569 | 46% | 6 | 3 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 1530 | 1589 | 0.93 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Como 1907 | 5 | 266 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Croatia | 3 | 256 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 626 | 2 | 1 | 1644 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 156 | 0 | 1 | 1557 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolò Fagioli Serie A · 2023 | 22 | €35.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Renato Sanches Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €28.0M | €6.5M | fell |
| Johnny Cardoso Laliga · 2024 | 23 | €25.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Brahim Díaz Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €20.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Adem Ljajic Serie A · 2014 | 23 | €11.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Dominik Szoboszlai Bundesliga · 2022 | 22 | €28.0M | €75.0M | rose |
| Sandro Premier League · 2013 | 24 | €16.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Hamed Traoré Serie A · 2021 | 21 | €20.0M | €22.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Dinamo Zagreb | Como | €18.0M | €22.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Din. Zagreb II | Dinamo Zagreb | Unknown | €600k |
| 6 Jan 2021 | Din. Zagreb U19 | Din. Zagreb II | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Din. Zagreb U17 | Din. Zagreb U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | D. Zagreb Yth. | Din. Zagreb U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Aug 2017 | RNK Split Yth. | D. Zagreb Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 10 Jul 2015 | Hajduk Yth. | RNK Split Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.