
Dominik Szoboszlai
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Dominik Szoboszlai's performance-implied value at EUR 60.7M-85.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 54.9M-129.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 55.4M-98.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.73x the positional average in the league (3233 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 13
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 98.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €98.7M vs market €100M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -31% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3233 (95% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.36
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.29
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 98 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1682
- Opponent strength
- 1595
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €55.4M – €98.3M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 22 pts; team strength down (-117 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -31% (IQR -46% to -17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | AM | 36 | 3233 | 95% | 6 | 7 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 1595 | 1682 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | AM | 36 | 2497 | 73% | 6 | 7 | 0.47 | 0.24 | 1550 | 1800 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | CM | 33 | 2111 | 62% | 3 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 1569 | 1755 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | RW | 31 | 2453 | 80% | 6 | 8 | 0.51 | 0.33 | 1532 | 1685 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | AM | 31 | 1537 | 50% | 6 | 8 | 0.82 | 0.51 | 1544 | 1663 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 12 | 1053 | 5 | 4 | 1656 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 4 | 360 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Community Shield | Liverpool FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1620 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 9 | 637 | 1 | 1 | 1672 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 1 | 45 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Liverpool FC | 7 | 325 | 2 | 1 | 1559 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 2 | 107 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 8 | 657 | 1 | 2 | 1724 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 6 | 510 | 3 | 2 | — |
| 2022/23 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | RB Leipzig | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1847 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | RB Leipzig | 5 | 227 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | RB Leipzig | 4 | 209 | 2 | 0 | 1757 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | RB Leipzig | 5 | 154 | 0 | 1 | 1624 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Fußballclub Red Bull Salzburg | 6 | 507 | 2 | 0 | 1716 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fußballclub Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 177 | 2 | 0 | 1446 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saúl Ñíguez Laliga · 2020 | 26 | €72.0M | €25.0M | fell |
| N'Golo Kanté Premier League · 2019 | 28 | €100M | €55.0M | fell |
| Joelinton Premier League · 2023 | 27 | €42.0M | €35.0M | flat |
| Mason Mount Premier League · 2021 | 22 | €75.0M | €60.0M | fell |
| Marcos Alonso Premier League · 2018 | 28 | €40.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Declan Rice Premier League · 2022 | 23 | €80.0M | €120M | rose |
| Martin Ødegaard Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €110M | €65.0M | fell |
| Bruno Fernandes Premier League · 2022 | 28 | €85.0M | €70.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2023 | Leipzig | Liverpool | €70.0M | €50.0M |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Salzburg | Leipzig | €36.0M | €25.0M |
| 16 Jan 2018 | FC Liefering | Salzburg | Unknown | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2017 | AKA Salzb. U18 | FC Liefering | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 29 Mar 2017 | Főnix U19 | AKA Salzb. U18 | €500k | Data unavailable |
| 29 Jul 2016 | MTK U17 | Főnix U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Aug 2015 | Főnix Jgd | MTK U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Nov 2007 | Videoton Jgd. | Főnix Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.