Marios Vichos
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marios Vichos's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-1.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 88
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 21.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €622k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2333 (100% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 22 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1260
- Opponent strength
- 1252
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €563k – €1.6M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; team strength up (+133 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); role change LM -> LB; relative output down 34% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +58% (IQR +19% to +76%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 25 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 55%–230%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | LB | 26 | 2333 | 100% | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 1252 | 1260 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | LM | 23 | 1938 | 83% | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 1261 | 1128 | 0.35 |
| 2022/23 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | LB | 16 | 1269 | 54% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1277 | 1068 | 0.37 |
| 2018/19 | APO Levadiakos Football Club | Super League 1 | LB | 2 | 40 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 1291 | 1114 | 0.43 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 7 | 563 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | APO Levadiakos Football Club | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaya Banana Super League 1 · 2018 | 27 | €1.0M | €400k | fell |
| Ross McCrorie Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €1.0M | €1.8M | rose |
| Manolis Saliakas Super League 1 · 2022 | 26 | €1.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Mats Deijl Eredivisie · 2024 | 27 | €1.2M | €2.0M | rose |
| Mats Köhlert Eredivisie · 2024 | 26 | €2.0M | €3.5M | rose |
| Nihad Mujakic Super Lig · 2024 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Igor Plastun Premier Liga · 2016 | 26 | €800k | €1.2M | rose |
| Sergiy Chobotenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €1.0M | €1.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2019 | Amvr. Distomou | Levadiakos | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Levadiakos | Amvr. Distomou | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Levadiakos U19 | Levadiakos | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 16 Jul 2016 | Asteras Iteas | Levadiakos U20 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.