Mats Deijl
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mats Deijl's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-1.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-2.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 74
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 46.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 29 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.1M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2811 (92% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 46 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1318
- Opponent strength
- 1309
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €888k – €2.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -46% (IQR -68% to -22%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RB | 19 | 1665 | 54% | 1 | 3 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 1309 | 1245 | 0.43 |
| 2025/26 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Eredivisie | RB | 14 | 1146 | 37% | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 1278 | 1423 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RB | 34 | 3060 | 100% | 4 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1305 | 1297 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RB | 32 | 2783 | 91% | 1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1368 | 1254 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RB | 32 | 2812 | 92% | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 1360 | 1246 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | Go Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | RB | 32 | 2447 | 80% | 2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 1351 | 1188 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 630 | 1 | 0 | 1480 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Johan Cruijff Schaal | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1632 |
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 510 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1334 |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 298 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 199 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 316 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Rose Super League 1 · 2021 | 29 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Aleksey Gritsaenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 29 | €1.5M | €1.0M | fell |
| Fabrice N'Sakala Super Lig · 2020 | 30 | €1.2M | €150k | fell |
| Frankie Kent Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 29 | €1.2M | €400k | fell |
| Georgios Galitsios Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 28 | €1.7M | €1.0M | fell |
| Maksim Osipenko Premier Liga · 2022 | 28 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Samet Akaydin Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €2.0M | €2.5M | rose |
| Florent Hadergjonaj Super Lig · 2022 | 28 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | Feyenoord | €1.0M | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC Den Bosch | Go Ahead Eagles | Free / loan | €250k |
| 4 Jan 2017 | Den Bosch U21 | FC Den Bosch | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Brabant U21 | Den Bosch U21 | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Brabant Utd U19 | Brabant U21 | Unknown | €25k |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Willem II U17 | Brabant Utd U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.