Abdelkahar Kadri
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Abdelkahar Kadri's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-2.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.97x the positional average in the league (1703 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 60
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 45.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €1.7M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1703 (63% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.37
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 46 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1403
- Opponent strength
- 1382
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €2.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+203 Elo); relative output down 37% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -47% to +20%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1703 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | KAA Gent | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 23 | 1703 | 63% | 2 | 5 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 1382 | 1403 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | KV Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 23 | 1668 | 62% | 1 | 6 | 0.38 | 0.61 | 1401 | 1201 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KV Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 27 | 2287 | 85% | 4 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.48 | 1389 | 1187 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | KV Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 16 | 1224 | 40% | 4 | 1 | 0.37 | 0.50 | 1320 | 1209 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | KV Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 22 | 1452 | 47% | 1 | 6 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 1352 | 1208 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | KAA Gent | 9 | 301 | 0 | 0 | 1423 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bart Ramselaar Eredivisie · 2022 | 26 | €3.8M | €2.0M | fell |
| Leonardo Lopes Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 26 | €4.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Raheem Lawal Super Lig · 2016 | 26 | €2.0M | €1.0M | fell |
| Marlon Fossey Jupiler Pro League · 2024 | 26 | €3.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Alessio Castro-Montes Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 26 | €3.8M | €5.0M | rose |
| Pieter Gerkens Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 24 | €3.0M | €2.5M | flat |
| Bruno Gallo Liga Portugal · 2015 | 27 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Ricardo Mangas Liga Portugal · 2023 | 25 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2025 | KV Kortrijk | KAA Gent | €1.3M | €2.2M |
| 12 Aug 2021 | Paradou AC | KV Kortrijk | €500k | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Paradou U21 | Paradou AC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.