Manu Sánchez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Manu Sánchez's performance-implied value at EUR 4.9M-12.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.7M-7.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.5M-8.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 54
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 72.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €5.0M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -13% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2818 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.14
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 73 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1476
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.5M – €8.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output up 51% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +10% (IQR -40% to +69%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Levante UD | Laliga | LB | 33 | 2818 | 82% | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 1476 | 1420 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Deportivo Alavés | Laliga | LB | 33 | 2640 | 77% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 1518 | 1418 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | LB | 26 | 1776 | 52% | 0 | 5 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 1495 | 1449 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LB | 31 | 2117 | 62% | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 1502 | 1455 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LB | 33 | 2260 | 66% | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 1544 | 1446 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LB | 16 | 973 | 28% | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 1584 | 1471 | 1.10 |
| 2020/21 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | LB | 1 | 49 | 1% | 0 | 1 | 1.84 | 0.14 | 1473 | 1728 | 1.10 |
| 2019/20 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | LB | 5 | 326 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1472 | 1759 | 1.16 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Deportivo Alavés | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 2 | 116 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 5 | 353 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luís Neto Serie A · 2013 | 25 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Kamil Glik Serie A · 2014 | 26 | €6.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Veysel Sarı Super Lig · 2013 | 25 | €5.0M | €2.2M | fell |
| Sergey Parshivlyuk Premier Liga · 2015 | 26 | €3.2M | €1.3M | fell |
| Sergi Cardona Laliga · 2024 | 25 | €6.0M | €9.0M | rose |
| Emmanuel Agbadou Ligue 1 · 2024 | 27 | €9.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Allan Nyom Laliga · 2013 | 25 | €5.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Nicolò Casale Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €7.5M | €14.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Levante | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 25 Jul 2025 | Celta de Vigo | Levante | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Alavés | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 23 Jul 2024 | Celta de Vigo | Alavés | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 3 Jul 2023 | Atlético | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | CA Osasuna | Atlético | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 27 Jul 2022 | Atlético | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | CA Osasuna | Atlético | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 17 Aug 2021 | Atlético | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | CA Osasuna | Atlético | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 11 Jan 2021 | Atlético | CA Osasuna | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Atl. Madrileño | Atlético | Unknown | €2.7M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Atl. Madrid U19 | Atl. Madrileño | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Atl. Madrid U17 | Atl. Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.