Iurie Iovu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Iurie Iovu's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.1M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 99
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 19th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 24 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €175k vs market €400k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2072 (70% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.03
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 19 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 26)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1178
- Opponent strength
- 1198
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €302k – €626k
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -3% (IQR -44% to +36%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Contract ends in 11 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 16 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 90%–275%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 75%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dundee United FC | Scottish Premiership | CB | 25 | 2072 | 70% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1198 | 1177 | 0.31 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Dundee United FC | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | 1329 |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Dundee United FC | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepe Castaño Super League 1 · 2022 | 24 | €600k | €800k | rose |
| Volodymyr Salyuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €700k | €1.0M | rose |
| Salvador Sánchez Super League 1 · 2021 | 26 | €350k | €350k | flat |
| Tobias Mölgaard Superliga · 2021 | 25 | €300k | €600k | rose |
| Scott McMann Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 27 | €375k | €350k | flat |
| Marc McAusland Scottish Premiership · 2015 | 27 | €450k | €25k | fell |
| Georgios Mygas Super League 1 · 2017 | 23 | €750k | €300k | fell |
| Cammy Kerr Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 24 | €400k | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | NK Istra | Dundee United | €200k | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Alavés B | NK Istra | Free / loan | €400k |
| 31 Jan 2025 | NK Istra | Alavés B | Free / loan | €450k |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Venezia | NK Istra | Unknown | €50k |
| 30 Jan 2023 | NK Istra | Venezia | Free / loan | €50k |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Venezia | NK Istra | Free / loan | €100k |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Cagliari U19 | Venezia | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Cagliari U17 | Cagliari U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Zimbru U17 | Cagliari U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.