Mykola Mykhaylenko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Mykola Mykhaylenko's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-5.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.6M-1.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-3.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.72x the positional average in the league (1364 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 90
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 42.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €833k vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1364 (51% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.13
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.09
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 43 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1324
- Opponent strength
- 1139
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €799k – €3.1M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-82 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -34% to +100%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1364 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | DM | 23 | 1364 | 51% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 1139 | 1324 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | DM | 21 | 1434 | 53% | 2 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 1196 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | DM | 16 | 1290 | 48% | 5 | 1 | 0.42 | 0.26 | 1237 | 1218 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | DM | 14 | 996 | 37% | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 1272 | 1284 | 0.38 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | DM | 5 | 33 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1293 | 1406 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | Chornomorets Odesa | Premier Liga | DM | 15 | 1266 | 78% | 2 | 2 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 1295 | 1156 | 0.45 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 1361 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 135 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 420 | 0 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 204 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1646 |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 28 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beni Baningime Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €1.5M | €1.5M | flat |
| Flávio Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Adama Traoré Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €3.8M | €3.0M | fell |
| Cammy Devlin Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
| Volodymyr Shepelev Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €1.8M | €700k | fell |
| Vladyslav Kabaev Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €1.8M | €4.0M | rose |
| Mehdi Boudjemaa Super Lig · 2022 | 24 | €1.8M | €550k | fell |
| Jens Stage Superliga · 2021 | 25 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | FC Oleksandriya | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €500k |
| 9 Jan 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv | FC Oleksandriya | Free / loan | €400k |
| 8 Jan 2023 | Zorya Lugansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €400k |
| 18 Jul 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €400k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Chornomorets | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €400k |
| 21 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv | Chornomorets | Free / loan | €50k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €50k |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.