
Giannis Konstantelias
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Giannis Konstantelias's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-9.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.6M-30.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 9.4M-27.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.11x the positional average in the league (1153 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 15
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 60.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €20.1M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -34% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1153 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.70
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.45
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 61 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.42 (rank 16)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1461
- Opponent strength
- 1230
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €9.4M – €27.4M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 18 pts; team strength up (+83 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output up 103% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -8% to +45%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1153 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 14 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–189%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 64%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | AM | 18 | 1153 | 49% | 7 | 2 | 0.70 | 0.45 | 1230 | 1461 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | AM | 23 | 1580 | 68% | 4 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 1256 | 1378 | 0.35 |
| 2023/24 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | AM | 25 | 1408 | 60% | 7 | 3 | 0.64 | 0.37 | 1227 | 1535 | 0.42 |
| 2022/23 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | AM | 21 | 1428 | 61% | 2 | 5 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 1240 | 1452 | 0.37 |
| 2021/22 | KAS Eupen | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 7 | 112 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1317 | 1174 | 0.49 |
| 2021/22 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | AM | 2 | 11 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1109 | 1453 | 0.39 |
| 2020/21 | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | Super League 1 | AM | 1 | 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1209 | 1428 | 0.39 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 7 | 450 | 2 | 2 | 1509 |
| 2025/26 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 404 | 3 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 363 | 1 | 2 | 1360 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 9 | 730 | 2 | 1 | 1534 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 4 | 227 | 0 | 0 | 1400 |
| 2024/25 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 3 | 187 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 2 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 1272 |
| 2023/24 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 5 | 461 | 2 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 407 | 2 | 0 | 1343 |
| 2022/23 | Kypello Elladas | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 6 | 501 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1286 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mykola Shaparenko Premier Liga · 2022 | 24 | €10.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Orkun Kökçü Eredivisie · 2021 | 21 | €12.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Nicolas Raskin Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 22 | €7.5M | €10.0M | rose |
| Mady Camara Super League 1 · 2019 | 22 | €8.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Claudinho Premier Liga · 2022 | 25 | €18.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Nikola Moro Premier Liga · 2021 | 23 | €7.0M | €6.5M | flat |
| Dennis Praet Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 21 | €8.0M | €8.5M | flat |
| Denis Makarov Premier Liga · 2022 | 24 | €6.0M | €2.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2022 | KAS Eupen | PAOK | Free / loan | €400k |
| 20 Jan 2022 | PAOK | KAS Eupen | Free / loan | €400k |
| 13 Nov 2020 | PAOK U19 | PAOK | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | PAOK U17 | PAOK U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.