Giannis Konstantelias

23 yrs · Attacking midfielder · Greece
Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton · Super League 1 · Foot: both · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€22.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€14.6M – €30.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.9M – €9.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€9.4M – €27.4M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€28.1M – -€5.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€14.6M – €30.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €9.3M
Projected value (24 months)€9.4M – €27.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Giannis Konstantelias's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-9.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.6M-30.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 9.4M-27.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.11x the positional average in the league (1153 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 15

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average60.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.3 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €20.1M vs market €22.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-34% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €22.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1153 (49% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.70
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.45
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
61 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.42 (rank 16)
Team strength (Elo)
1461
Opponent strength
1230
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€9.4M – €27.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 18 pts; team strength up (+83 Elo); league level up (+40 Elo); relative output up 103% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -8% to +45%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1153 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
14 (MID)
Relative output kept
67%–189%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
64%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1AM18115349%720.700.45123014610.43
2024/25Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1AM23158068%400.230.22125613780.35
2023/24Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1AM25140860%730.640.37122715350.42
2022/23Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1AM21142861%250.440.32124014520.37
2021/22KAS EupenJupiler Pro LeagueAM71124%000.000.38131711740.49
2021/22Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1AM2110%000.000.20110914530.39
2020/21Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1AM170%000.000.27120914280.39

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton7450221509
2025/26Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton540432—
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4363121360
2024/25Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton9730211534
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton4227001400
2024/25Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton318700—
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton299101272
2023/24Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton546122—
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton6407201343
2022/23Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton650111—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton112001286

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Mykola Shaparenko
Premier Liga · 2022
24€10.0M€9.0Mflat
Orkun Kökçü
Eredivisie · 2021
21€12.0M€35.0Mrose
Nicolas Raskin
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
22€7.5M€10.0Mrose
Mady Camara
Super League 1 · 2019
22€8.0M€15.0Mrose
Claudinho
Premier Liga · 2022
25€18.0M€18.0Mflat
Nikola Moro
Premier Liga · 2021
23€7.0M€6.5Mflat
Dennis Praet
Jupiler Pro League · 2015
21€8.0M€8.5Mflat
Denis Makarov
Premier Liga · 2022
24€6.0M€2.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2022KAS EupenPAOKFree / loan€400k
20 Jan 2022PAOKKAS EupenFree / loan€400k
13 Nov 2020PAOK U19PAOKUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019PAOK U17PAOK U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.