Jordan Zemura
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jordan Zemura's performance-implied value at EUR 4.2M-8.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.6M-4.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.3M-5.3M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.17x the positional average in the league (1128 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 85
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 70.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €2.2M vs market €5.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1128 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.26
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 71 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1442
- Opponent strength
- 1483
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.3M – €5.3M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -5% (IQR -34% to +2%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1128 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 17 | 1128 | 33% | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 1483 | 1442 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 23 | 1411 | 41% | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1515 | 1389 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | Udinese Calcio | Serie A | LM | 27 | 1035 | 30% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 1523 | 1420 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | AFC Bournemouth | Premier League | LB | 19 | 1456 | 43% | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 1598 | 1425 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 105 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | Udinese Calcio | 2 | 120 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai López Laliga · 2023 | 28 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Valerio Verre Serie A · 2021 | 27 | €3.5M | €1.8M | fell |
| Stefan Reinartz Bundesliga · 2016 | 27 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Alexandru Maxim Bundesliga · 2016 | 26 | €4.0M | €2.0M | fell |
| Ola Aina Serie A · 2023 | 27 | €3.5M | €22.0M | rose |
| Valentino Lazaro Serie A · 2023 | 27 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Aïssa Laïdouni Bundesliga · 2024 | 28 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Fabio Depaoli Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €2.8M | €3.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Bournemouth | Udinese | Free / loan | €6.0M |
| 1 Aug 2020 | Bournemouth U23 | Bournemouth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 8 Jul 2019 | Charlton U23 | Bournemouth U23 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Charlton U18 | Charlton U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Charlton Athleti | Charlton U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2011 | QPR Academy | Charlton Athleti | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.