Beñat Turrientes
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Beñat Turrientes's performance-implied value at EUR 2.8M-6.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.2M-14.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.1M-13.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (1347 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 22
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 54.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €9.3M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -27% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1347 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 55 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1462
- Opponent strength
- 1479
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.1M – €13.8M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 89% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -52% (IQR -66% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1347 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | CM | 27 | 1347 | 39% | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 1479 | 1462 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | CM | 21 | 940 | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1503 | 1464 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | CM | 29 | 1690 | 49% | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 1471 | 1588 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | CM | 6 | 101 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1495 | 1604 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Real Sociedad | Laliga | CM | 8 | 201 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1552 | 1559 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 7 | 531 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 7 | 325 | 0 | 0 | 1537 |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 3 | 157 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 6 | 297 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Real Sociedad | 6 | 187 | 0 | 0 | 1687 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 6 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 1481 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 1 | 73 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Real Sociedad | 4 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1512 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Real Sociedad | 1 | 37 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Geiger Bundesliga · 2022 | 24 | €9.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| András Schäfer Bundesliga · 2024 | 25 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Rodri Sánchez Laliga · 2023 | 23 | €8.0M | €2.7M | fell |
| Pedro Obiang Premier League · 2017 | 25 | €9.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Manu Morlanes Laliga · 2022 | 23 | €5.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Yann M'Vila Ligue 1 · 2013 | 23 | €15.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Youssef Maleh Serie A · 2022 | 24 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Niels Nkounkou Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €7.5M | €2.6M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2022 | Real Sociedad B | Real Sociedad | Unknown | €3.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Real Sociedad C | Real Sociedad B | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | R. Sociedad U19 | Real Sociedad C | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Real Sociedad Y | R. Sociedad U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.