Shola Shoretire

22 yrs · Left winger (also AM) · England
PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie · Foot: both · Height: 179 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€864k – €2.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€989k – €1.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€911k – €3.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.6M – €931k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€864k – €2.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€989k – €1.8M
Projected value (24 months)€911k – €3.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Shola Shoretire's performance-implied value at EUR 1.0M-1.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.06x the positional average in the league (1652 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 70

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average31.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable22.4 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.5M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationLow-12% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModeratebreakout probability 16%
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €4.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1652 (54% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.33
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.43
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
31 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1186
Opponent strength
1292
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
16%
Resale range (24m)
€911k – €3.5M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +29% (IQR -12% to +241%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1652 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (ATT)
Relative output kept
73%–122%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
61%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26PEC ZwolleEredivisieLW24165254%510.330.43129211860.43
2024/25Panthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos KonstantinoupolitonSuper League 1LW1639917%200.450.25116613780.35
2021/22Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueAM1150%000.000.32153916091.17
2020/21Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueAM2100%000.000.27150817411.19

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerPEC Zwolle210610—
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton16001372
2024/25Kypello ElladasPanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton316520—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeaguePanthessalonikios Athlitikos Omilos Konstantinoupoliton662001528
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueManchester United122001563
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueManchester United114001592

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Yoann Cathline
Eredivisie · 2024
22€2.0M€6.0Mrose
Dereck Kutesa
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
25€1.2M€2.0Mrose
Vladislav Shitov
Premier Liga · 2024
21€1.2M€1.2Mflat
Maksim Glushenkov
Premier Liga · 2022
23€1.8M€11.0Mrose
Erencan Yardımcı
Super Lig · 2024
22€2.0M€2.0Mflat
Edgar Sevikyan
Premier Liga · 2024
23€2.0M€1.0Mfell
Jakob Breum
Eredivisie · 2024
21€1.0M€5.0Mrose
Adolfo Gaich
Super Lig · 2024
25€1.7M€1.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026PEC ZwollePAOKFree / loan€2.0M
3 Sept 2025PAOKPEC ZwolleFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jul 2024Man Utd U21PAOKFree / loan€4.0M
31 May 2023BoltonMan Utd U21Free / loan€4.0M
19 Jan 2023Man Utd U21BoltonFree / loan€4.0M
1 Jul 2020Man Utd U18Man Utd U23UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Man Utd YouthMan Utd U18UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.