Jakob Breum

22 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also LW) · Denmark
Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 178 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€5.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€2.1M – €5.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€688k – €1.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.4M – €8.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€5.0M – -€171k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €5.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€688k – €1.9M
Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €8.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Jakob Breum's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-1.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.1M-5.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.4M-8.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.20x the positional average in the league (2041 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 82

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average34.2th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable22.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €3.4M vs market €5.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-4% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModeratebreakout probability 23%
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2041 (67% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.53
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.48
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
34 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1245
Opponent strength
1312
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
23%
Resale range (24m)
€2.4M – €8.6M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +6% (IQR -46% to +29%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (MID)
Relative output kept
76%–148%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
68%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieAM28204167%660.530.48131212450.43
2024/25Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieAM26206768%1050.650.60129912970.50
2023/24Go Ahead EaglesEredivisieLW32145047%330.370.42134912540.48
2022/23Odense BoldklubSuperligaLW1242121%000.000.31127312400.47
2021/22Odense BoldklubSuperligaLW1126113%100.340.40129012180.45
2019/20Odense BoldklubSuperligaLW110%000.000.31115612640.41

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueGo Ahead Eagles6429011456
2025/26Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles29400—
2025/26Johan Cruijff SchaalGo Ahead Eagles190001632
2024/25Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles327210—
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingGo Ahead Eagles2168011334
2023/24Knvb BekerGo Ahead Eagles324601—
2022/23Oddset PokalenOdense Boldklub16100—
2021/22Oddset PokalenOdense Boldklub513100—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Berat Özdemir
Super Lig · 2021
23€3.5M€4.5Mrose
Dal Varesanovic
Super Lig · 2024
23€2.4M€1.2Mfell
Kirill Shchetinin
Premier Liga · 2024
22€3.0M€2.8Mflat
Kacper Kozlowski
Eredivisie · 2024
21€5.0M€6.0Mrose
Nicolas Raskin
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
21€5.0M€6.5Mrose
Alexandru Cicâldău
Super Lig · 2022
25€7.5M€3.0Mfell
Vini Souza
Jupiler Pro League · 2022
23€4.5M€12.0Mrose
Joshua Kitolano
Eredivisie · 2024
23€4.5M€2.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2023Odense BKGo Ahead EaglesUnknown€450k
1 Jan 2022Odense BK U19Odense BKUnknown€150k
1 Aug 2020Odense BK YouthOdense BK U19Unknown€100k
1 Jul 2018Naesby BK YouthOdense BK YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.