Javi Rueda
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Javi Rueda's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-10.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.7M-10.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.2M-10.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 55
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 66.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €6.1M vs market €6.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1405 (41% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.51
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.36
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 67 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1498
- Opponent strength
- 1451
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.2M – €10.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -26% to +74%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1405 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | RB | 26 | 1405 | 41% | 2 | 6 | 0.51 | 0.36 | 1451 | 1498 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Celta de Vigo | Laliga | RB | 1 | 19 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1448 | 1449 | 1.00 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Celta de Vigo | 11 | 631 | 2 | 1 | 1507 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Celta de Vigo | 1 | 46 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yerson Mosquera Laliga · 2024 | 23 | €6.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Maciej Rybus Premier Liga · 2013 | 24 | €4.5M | €4.0M | flat |
| Ismaily Liga Portugal · 2013 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.8M | fell |
| Rúben Vezo Laliga · 2019 | 25 | €6.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Jérémy Pied Ligue 1 · 2013 | 24 | €2.5M | €3.0M | rose |
| Ferhat Kiraz Super Lig · 2013 | 24 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Cédric Soares Liga Portugal · 2013 | 22 | €3.0M | €9.5M | rose |
| Jordan Torunarigha Bundesliga · 2021 | 24 | €9.0M | €5.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2025 | Albacete | Celta de Vigo | Free / loan | €800k |
| 7 Aug 2024 | Celta de Vigo | Albacete | Free / loan | €250k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Celta Fortuna | Celta de Vigo | Unknown | €250k |
| 21 Jul 2023 | RM Castilla | Celta Fortuna | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Real Murcia | RM Castilla | Free / loan | €200k |
| 29 Jul 2022 | RM Castilla | Real Murcia | Free / loan | €200k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | UD Sanse | RM Castilla | Free / loan | €200k |
| 12 Aug 2021 | RM Castilla | UD Sanse | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Real Madrid U19 | RM Castilla | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Real Madrid U18 | Real Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Real Madrid U17 | Real Madrid U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Málaga CF Youth | Real Madrid U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.