Bilal El Khannouss
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bilal El Khannouss's performance-implied value at EUR 10.4M-42.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 23.8M-44.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 20.8M-51.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.01x the positional average in the league (1635 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 47
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 85.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €33.3M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 8% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1635 (53% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.41
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 85 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1567
- Opponent strength
- 1488
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 8%
- Resale range (24m)
- €20.8M – €51.1M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+195 Elo); league level down (-99 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -20% (IQR -32% to +23%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1635 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | AM | 25 | 1635 | 53% | 4 | 5 | 0.50 | 0.41 | 1488 | 1567 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Leicester City | Premier League | AM | 32 | 2197 | 64% | 2 | 3 | 0.20 | 0.34 | 1575 | 1367 | 1.23 |
| 2024/25 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 1 | 69 | 3% | 0 | 1 | 1.30 | 0.18 | 1141 | 1535 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 27 | 2193 | 81% | 3 | 6 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 1385 | 1459 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | KRC Genk | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 33 | 2230 | 73% | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 1301 | 1495 | 0.58 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 11 | 641 | 5 | 0 | 1483 |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Morocco | 6 | 355 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 290 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Morocco | 3 | 254 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Leicester City | 2 | 150 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 1404 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1451 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | KRC Genk | 2 | 129 | 0 | 0 | 1466 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Lindstrøm Bundesliga · 2023 | 23 | €28.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Vanderson Ligue 1 · 2024 | 23 | €20.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Álex Baena Laliga · 2023 | 22 | €20.0M | €55.0M | rose |
| Nadiem Amiri Bundesliga · 2018 | 22 | €17.0M | €16.0M | flat |
| Oihan Sancet Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €35.0M | €25.0M | fell |
| Rayan Cherki Ligue 1 · 2024 | 21 | €25.0M | €90.0M | rose |
| Alan Dzagoev Premier Liga · 2014 | 24 | €23.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Ivan Ilić Serie A · 2024 | 23 | €18.0M | €7.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Leicester | Stuttgart | €15.0M | €35.0M |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Stuttgart | Leicester | Free / loan | €35.0M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Leicester | Stuttgart | Free / loan | €28.0M |
| 29 Aug 2024 | Genk | Leicester | €22.5M | €30.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Jong Genk | Genk | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | KRC Genk U18 | KRC Genk U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | KRC Genk Youth | KRC Genk U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Anderlecht Yth. | KRC Genk Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.