Volodymyr Brazhko
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Volodymyr Brazhko's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-7.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.6M-11.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.8M-15.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.18x the positional average in the league (1507 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 44.1th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €7.6M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -35% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1507 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.15
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 44 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1324
- Opponent strength
- 1172
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.8M – €15.4M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-82 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -11% (IQR -44% to +1%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1507 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 37 (all positions)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–128%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 86%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | DM | 23 | 1507 | 56% | 3 | 1 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 1172 | 1324 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | DM | 22 | 1443 | 53% | 3 | 2 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 1198 | 1406 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Dynamo Kyiv | Premier Liga | DM | 26 | 2028 | 75% | 6 | 5 | 0.49 | 0.24 | 1263 | 1458 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | Zorya Lugansk | Premier Liga | DM | 29 | 2068 | 77% | 7 | 1 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 1279 | 1406 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 281 | 1 | 0 | 1400 |
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 247 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 2 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 1516 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 442 | 0 | 1 | 1540 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 5 | 405 | 1 | 1 | 1543 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 4 | 282 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1350 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandru Cicâldău Super Lig · 2022 | 25 | €7.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Berat Özdemir Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €3.5M | €4.5M | rose |
| Manu García Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €3.5M | €3.5M | flat |
| Salih Uçan Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €4.6M | €4.7M | flat |
| Adama Traoré Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €3.8M | €3.0M | fell |
| Oleksandr Pikhalyonok Premier Liga · 2024 | 27 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Kristijan Bistrovic Super Lig · 2021 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Can Bozdogan Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | Zorya Lugansk | Dynamo Kyiv | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 18 Jul 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv | Zorya Lugansk | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Dynamo Kyiv | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Dynamo Kyiv U19 | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Dynamo Kyiv U17 | Dynamo Kyiv II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.