Tanner Tessmann
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tanner Tessmann's performance-implied value at EUR 5.0M-17.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.3M-14.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.1M-18.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.46x the positional average in the league (1954 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 69.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €10.4M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1954 (64% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.05
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 70 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1554
- Opponent strength
- 1441
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.1M – €18.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 24 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +10% (IQR -28% to +55%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | DM | 29 | 1954 | 64% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 1441 | 1554 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Olympique Lyon | Ligue 1 | DM | 25 | 1229 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 1449 | 1571 | 0.88 |
| 2021/22 | Venezia FC | Serie A | CM | 20 | 671 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1525 | 1241 | 0.89 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 9 | 479 | 1 | 0 | 1454 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Olympique Lyon | 9 | 521 | 0 | 0 | 1500 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | Venezia FC | 3 | 173 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xeka Ligue 1 · 2019 | 25 | €10.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Éderson Serie A · 2023 | 24 | €20.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Timothy Weah Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €14.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Andrea Poli Serie A · 2015 | 26 | €7.5M | €4.0M | fell |
| Michel Aebischer Serie A · 2024 | 27 | €9.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Hans Hateboer Serie A · 2018 | 24 | €7.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Maxime Lopez Serie A · 2021 | 24 | €10.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Boubakary Soumaré Laliga · 2024 | 25 | €14.0M | €14.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2024 | Venezia | Lyon | €6.0M | €7.0M |
| 15 Jul 2021 | Dallas | Venezia | €3.6M | €1.0M |
| 25 Feb 2020 | Dallas Academy | Dallas | Unknown | €100k |
| 30 Nov 2019 | North Texas SC | Dallas Academy | Free / loan | €100k |
| 26 Apr 2019 | Dallas Academy | North Texas SC | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Alabama FC | Dallas Academy | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.